The Pulse of Progress Conference Conflict and
Description: The Pulse of Progress Conference Conflict and Displacement December 17, 2024 What do we know about Fragile and Conflict-Affected Situations (FCS)? Many people living in FCS: 13 percent. Worsening situation: double. Persistence: Half of the
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slide1. The Pulse of Progress Conference Conflict and Displacement December 17, 2024<br>
slide2. What do we know about Fragile and Conflict-Affected Situations (FCS)? Many people living in FCS: 13 percent.
Worsening situation: double.
Persistence: Half of the FCS countries.
Extreme poverty: 40 percent.
A combination of urgent needs and lack of evidence! 1<br>
slide3. But, is evidence alone sufficient? Relevance is key! 2<br>
slide4. Two areas of interest What are the new insights?
How can policymakers use these findings? 3<br>
slide5. Measuring child mortality from mobile phone surveys in countries facing security challenges: an assessment in Burkina Faso 4 New insights:
A significant increase in mortality rates in regions affected by security issues
A contrast with the DHS data.
Relevance to policymakers:
Understanding of progress in reducing child mortality in Burkina Faso,
Shifting policy priorities and investment strategies.
Technical discussion:
Statistical power
Sampling weights<br>
slide6. Near-real-time welfare and livelihood impacts of an active war: Evidence from Ethiopia 5 New insights:
Magnitude of the impacts of the conflict on households’ food security.
Relevance to policymakers:
Inform post-conflict recovery?
Technical discussion:
Seasonality
Sampling weights<br>
slide7. The impact of shocks on forcibly displaced populations in LMICs 6 New insights:
Vulnerability differences between displaced and non-displaced populations
Relevance to policymakers:
Targeted interventions?
Technical discussion:
Comparability between HFPS and surveys on FDPs<br>
slide8. Business amid chaos: How Ukraine’s firms suffered and adapted since the 2022 invasion. 7 New insights:
Novel data sources
Large firms and firms with exports tied to the West have recovered better.
Relevance to policymakers:
Access to finance?
Technical discussion:
Excellent tools for monitoring
Limitations in addressing the “Why’s”<br>
slide2. What do we know about Fragile and Conflict-Affected Situations (FCS)? Many people living in FCS: 13 percent.
Worsening situation: double.
Persistence: Half of the FCS countries.
Extreme poverty: 40 percent.
A combination of urgent needs and lack of evidence! 1<br>
slide3. But, is evidence alone sufficient? Relevance is key! 2<br>
slide4. Two areas of interest What are the new insights?
How can policymakers use these findings? 3<br>
slide5. Measuring child mortality from mobile phone surveys in countries facing security challenges: an assessment in Burkina Faso 4 New insights:
A significant increase in mortality rates in regions affected by security issues
A contrast with the DHS data.
Relevance to policymakers:
Understanding of progress in reducing child mortality in Burkina Faso,
Shifting policy priorities and investment strategies.
Technical discussion:
Statistical power
Sampling weights<br>
slide6. Near-real-time welfare and livelihood impacts of an active war: Evidence from Ethiopia 5 New insights:
Magnitude of the impacts of the conflict on households’ food security.
Relevance to policymakers:
Inform post-conflict recovery?
Technical discussion:
Seasonality
Sampling weights<br>
slide7. The impact of shocks on forcibly displaced populations in LMICs 6 New insights:
Vulnerability differences between displaced and non-displaced populations
Relevance to policymakers:
Targeted interventions?
Technical discussion:
Comparability between HFPS and surveys on FDPs<br>
slide8. Business amid chaos: How Ukraine’s firms suffered and adapted since the 2022 invasion. 7 New insights:
Novel data sources
Large firms and firms with exports tied to the West have recovered better.
Relevance to policymakers:
Access to finance?
Technical discussion:
Excellent tools for monitoring
Limitations in addressing the “Why’s”<br>