Potential Means to Counter Pandemic Influenza Table Top Exercise TTX Public Health Measures Categories of Interventions Pharmaceutical NonPharmaceutical Public Health Measures Pharmaceutical Interventions ID: 909307
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Slide1
‘School Closing’as a Potential Means to Counter Pandemic Influenza
Table Top Exercise (TTX)
Slide2Public Health Measures
Categories of Interventions
Pharmaceutical
Non-Pharmaceutical
Slide3Public Health MeasuresPharmaceutical Interventions
Vaccines
Antivirals
Slide4Public Health Measures
Individual Measures
– ‘
Hygienic’
Hand washing
Cough etiquette
Washing inanimate surfaces
Masks & respirators
Community-based Measures
Self-isolation
Self-quarantineSocial Distancing MeasuresWork Place PoliciesGatherings restrictionsTravel restrictionsSchool Closings
Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions
Slide5‘School Closing’as a Potential Means to Counter Pandemic Influenza
Slide6School Closing Warrants Special ConsiderationChildren among the highest at-risk population
Children among most likely to spread the disease
Poses an immediate community-wide impact from a single policy decision
Substantial adverse socioeconomic impacts
Pros & Cons of all stakeholders must be considered
Slide7Overview / PurposeProvide a Public Information Exchange Forum for Pandemic Influenza IssuesDiscussion to facilitate planning and to assess School Closing as a potential means to counter a Pandemic Influenza outbreakProvide valuable feedback for policy formulation at all levels of government
Exercise Scenario - 1The World Health Organization (WHO) has confirmed sustained human-to-human transfer of a virulent influenza virus in several Asian countries and has determined that an influenza pandemic is underway (WHO Phase 6).CDC has advised that the pandemic influenza virus is likely to reach one or more contiguous 48 states in the next 30 days.
(USG Stage 4).
HHS has issued guidance for State and Local governments to consider non-pharmaceutical measures as potential countermeasures.
Slide9Discussion Questions - 1Realistic expected range of morbidity & mortality for the community? (Identify your Science Advisor!)
Likely healthcare demands upon hospitals & other healthcare facilities?
Expected quantity of antiviral drugs?
Plans for use of antiviral drugs?
How would school closings affect response plans?
Other community-wide actions?
(Public Health Risks & Countermeasures)
Slide10Exercise Scenario - 2The World Health Organization (WHO) has confirmed sustained human-to-human transfer of a virulent influenza virus in several Asian countries and has determined that an influenza pandemic is underway (WHO Phase 6).CDC has advised that the pandemic influenza virus is likely to spread across all 50 states
(USG Stage
5
).
HHS has issued guidance for State and Local governments to consider non-pharmaceutical measures as potential countermeasures.
Slide11School Closing ConsiderationsChildren are efficient transmitters of fluIn Asian flu pandemic of 1957-58, the highest rates were seen in school age childrenData on School Closing is limitedOne published study found significant decrease in incidence of disease as result of school closures
Risk of infection & illness likely decreased with closures
Mathematical modeling suggests reduction of transmission due to School Closing
Child Care arrangements will be required if School Closing
School closures also have significant impact on the community and the workforce
Slide12Discussion Questions – 2Who has authority to close some or all of entire public school system? (similar to snow days?)What is ‘procedure’ for routine closings?Is the locus of authority different if 4 - 6 weeks?
Is there a state authority for resolving disagreements between adjoining jurisdictions?
Public school officials authority over private schools?
Decision to ‘Re-open’ Schools? Who? When?
(Decision Making Process)
Slide13Break
Slide14Discussion Questions - 3What % of teachers / admin would be idled?Policy for compensation of idled workers?Program for continued ‘at home’ education?‘Latch-key’ special needs?Status of ‘other school-based services’?
If extended period (4 – 6 weeks), what is the requirement for make-up days? (Longer?)
Plans to preclude ‘unofficial mall’ gatherings?
(Impacts from Closing Schools)
Additional Information
Slide16Discussion Questions - 4Parents away from jobs to supervise children?Employers ‘telework’ arrangements?Employers liberal leave policies?Employers Continuity of Operations Plans?Assistance from other public or private entities to assist parents with their ‘at home’ children?
Absentee Impact on community infrastructure?
(Other Public & Private Entities)
Slide17Final Comments
Slide18Conclusions from the Historical Record: 1918 Pandemic“Swift, agile, decisive, and coordinated action based on accurate information and advanced preparedness planning, before the appearance of influenza in the local area, is
critical
.”
Howard Markel, MD, PhD www.dtra.mil/asco/DTRAFinalInfluenzaReport.pdf
Slide19End