PPT-Modeling Uncertainty over time

Time series of snapshot of the world state we are interested represented as a set of random variables RVs Observable Hidden Stationary process not static Markovian Property current state depends only on finite history typically just previous time slice . Jake Blanchard. Spring 2010. Uncertainty Analysis for Engineers. 1. Introduction. We’ve discussed single-variable probability distributions. This lets us represent uncertain inputs. But what of variables that depend on these inputs? How do we represent their uncertainty?. IB DP Physics. Error Bars. U. sed . on graphs to display the uncertainty in measurements of the data . points.. T. here . may be uncertainty in just the y-values, just the x-values, or . both. .. Must be included in all DP Physics data analysis including your Internal Assessment. Lecture One. Paul . Constantine. March 29, 2011. What is UQ???. Uncertainty Quantification – ME470. Paul Constantine. Combining computational models, physical observations, and possibly expert . judgment . Panel Discussion. Lynn H. Pottenger, PhD, DABT. The Dow Chemical Company. Uncertainty Workshop Focus:. Focus on identification of sources & communication of uncertainty in a risk assessment. Not how to measure. in Precipitation Data Records. Yudong Tian. Collaborators: Ling Tang, Bob Adler, George Huffman, . Xin Lin, Fang Yan, Viviana Maggioni and Matt Sapiano.  . University of Maryland & NASA/GSFC. http://sigma.umd.edu. for S2D forecasting. EUPORIAS wp31. Nov 2012, Ronald Hutjes. Background. S2D impact prediction. Uncertainty explosion / Skill implosion ??. SST. Weather. (Downscaling). Soil moisture. Plant productivity. Inclined Manometer. http://. www.dwyer-inst.com. U-tube Manometer. Sensitivity. Inclined Manometer. http://. www.dwyer-inst.com. U-tube Manometer. Pitot. Static Probe. Measures fluid velocity . v. Based on Bernoulli’s law. . Avoidance. in 10 minutes. Geert Hofstede. January. 2015. Origin. of the term “. uncertainty. . avoidance. ”. One. of the . key. . concepts. in a “. behavioral. . theory. of the . firm. in Measurement. (IB text - Ch 11; AP text - section 1.4 pgs. 10-13 and A10-A13). All measurements have some degree of . uncertainty. . Therefore, we need to give some indication of the reliability of measurements and the uncertainties in the results calculated from these measurements. . Marcia McNutt. Editor-in-Chief. Science . family of Journals. Challenges with scientific uncertainty ...... Public perception that if scientists express uncertainty, they “don’t know they are talking about.”. OUTLINE. Accelerator Pre-alignment background. Uncertainty and GUM supplement 1. PACMAN pre-alignment budgeting . CMM uncertainty modeling. Thermal uncertainty compensation and modeling. First stochastic modeling results. Manipulating symbols. Last class. Typology of signs. Sign systems. Symbols. Tremendously important distinctions for informatics and computational sciences. Computation = symbol manipulation. Symbols can be manipulated without reference to content (syntactically. : . Case Study of. . Residential Wood Combustion . Rabab . Mashayekhi, . Shunliu. . Zhao, . Sahar . Saeednooran. , . Amir . Hakami. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carleton University, . 1 global view from the firms Mat