PPT-Why causal answers are needed and how we can get them

Dr Steven Stillman Senior Fellow Motu Adjunct Professor of Economics Waikato NIDEA Theme Leader New Zealands individuals families and households Launch Symposium November 24 th 2010 The Importance of Experimental Evidence . recap. Kripke’s Picture. “Someone. , let’s say, a baby, is born; his parents call him by a certain . name. They . talk about him to their friends, . other . people meet him. . Through various sorts . Ognyan. Oreshkov. , . Fabio . Costa. , . ČaslavBrukner. Bhubaneswar. arXiv:1105.4464. 20 December2011. Conference on Quantum Information. X. T. D. E. A. B. C. A. B. C. D. E. Measurements in space-time. Abstract. In many real-world applications, it is important to mine causal relationships where an event or event pattern causes certain outcomes with low probability. Discovering this kind of causal relationships can help us prevent or correct negative outcomes caused by their antecedents. In this paper, we propose an innovative data mining framework and apply it to mine potential causal associations in electronic patient data sets where the drug-related events of interest occur infrequently. Specifically, we created a novel interestingness measure, exclusive causal-leverage, based on a computational, fuzzy recognition-primed decision (RPD) model that we previously developed. On the basis of this new measure, a data mining algorithm was developed to mine the causal relationship between drugs and their associated adverse drug reactions (ADRs). . Get insights. Get educated. Get inspired. Summary1.Introduction2.DLPCrisismanagement3.Kineticsof4.Tools5.The Get insights. Get educated. Get inspired. 1.IntroductionDLP : A Ground-Breaking use of Directed Acyclic Graphs. Bob Stoddard SEMA. Mike Konrad. SEMA. Copyright 2015 Carnegie Mellon University. This . material is based upon work funded and supported by the Department of Defense under Contract No. FA8721-05-C-0003 with Carnegie Mellon University for the operation of the Software Engineering Institute, a federally funded research and development center.. Susan Athey, Stanford GSB. Based on joint work with Guido Imbens, Stefan Wager. References outside CS literature. Imbens and Rubin Causal Inference book (2015): synthesis of literature prior to big data/ML. Faculty of Physics, University of Vienna &. Institute . for Quantum Optics . and Quantum Information, Vienna . Mateus . Araujo. , . Cyril . Branciard, Fabio Costa, Adrian Feix. , Christina . Giarmatzi, Ognyan Oreshkov, Magdalena Zych. theory . Sri Hermawati. The focus of this chapter is on the role of causal processes in decision making.. Newcombs . problem/. the predictors paradox. You are offered a choice between two boxes, B1 and B2. Box . Ling . Ning. &. . Mayte. . Frias. . Senior Research Associates. Neil . Huefner. . Associate Director. Timo. Rico. Executive Director. Outline. Understanding causal effects. Methods for estimating causal effects. Naftali Weinberger. Tilburg Center for Logic, Ethics and Philosophy of Science. Time and Causality in the Sciences. June 8. th. , 2017. Principle of the . C. ommon Cause. iPad. Happiness. iPad. Happiness. Tony Cox. May 5, 2016. 1. Download free CAT software from: . http://cox-associates.com/CAT.htm. . Outline. Why CAT? Challenges for causal analytics. Ambiguous C-R associations: theory & practice. Austin Nichols (Abt) & Linden McBride (Cornell). July 27, 2017. Stata Conference. Baltimore, MD. Overview. Machine learning methods dominant for classification/prediction problems.. Prediction is useful for causal inference if one is trying to predict propensity scores (probability of treatment conditional on observables);. : A Mechanist Perspective. Stuart Glennan. Butler . University. The singularist and generalist view of causation. The. generalist view: Particular events are causally related because they fall under general laws. Causal arguments are inductive arguments in which the conclusion is a claim that one thing causes another.. For example:. Clogged arteries cause heart attacks. A rough surface produces friction. Exercise during heat causes sweating.