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An observatory approach to enable ecological forecasting: An observatory approach to enable ecological forecasting:

An observatory approach to enable ecological forecasting: - PowerPoint Presentation

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An observatory approach to enable ecological forecasting: - PPT Presentation

The role of the National Ecological Observatory Network Hank Loescher National Ecological Observatory Network NEON Director Strategic Projects CEO Office lots and lots of data 92008 ID: 492654

ecological data science neon data ecological neon science national observatory research infrastructure change climate forecasting network grand org system

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Slide1

An observatory approach to enable ecological forecasting: The role of the National Ecological Observatory Network

Hank Loescher | National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON)Director Strategic Projects | CEO OfficeSlide2

lots and lots of data…

9/2008

10/2009

2/2011

3/2010

7

/2011

2

7

/2014Slide3

Data as a National Resource

NSF Director Suresh’s emphasis on:“Era of Observations”

“Era of Data and Information

March 2012: White House $200M “Big Data” initiative:

NSF

NIH

DOE

DOD

DARPA

USGS

3Slide4

Increasing importance on designing new x-discipline data structures to support policy/decision-makingSocietal Benefit Areas (SBAs)

Grand Challenge for Environmental SciencesQuestions of societal importance within and among these SBAs

Understanding Earth System requires information integration

Broad Adoption and

Evolution

of

Cultures

Weather

Agriculture

Biodiversity

Climate

Disasters

Energy

Ecosystems

Water

Health

4

Global themes – Global SolutionsSlide5

OUTLINENEON Grand Challenges

Overview Design and Design Process of NEON

Ecological Forecasting

Interoperability and International Efforts

NEON Institutional Structure

5Slide6

Grand Challenge areas

Biodiversity

Biogeochemical cycles

Climate change

Ecohydrology

Infectious disease

Invasive species

Land

use

NRC (National Research Council). 2001. Grand Challenges in Environmental Sciences. Washington DC: National Academies Press.

NRC. 2003. NEON: Addressing the Nation’s Environmental Challenges. Washington DC: National Academies Press.

6Slide7

Grand Challenge areasHow will ecosystems [of the United States] and their components respond to changes in natural- and human-induced

forcings such as climate, land use, and invasive species across a range of spatial and temporal scales? And, what is the pace and pattern of the responses?

How do the internal responses and feedbacks of biogeochemistry, biodiversity,

hydroecology

and biotic structure and function interact with changes in climate, land use, and invasive species? And, how do these feedbacks vary with ecological context and spatial and temporal scales?

7Slide8

Grand Challenge areas

The goal of NEON is to

enable

understanding

and

forecasting

of the

impacts

of

climate change

,

land use change

and

invasive

species

on

continental-scale

ecology

by providing infrastructure to support research, education and environmental management in these areas.

Responses

Interactions

Feedbacks

Forcing

Abiotic

d

rivers

of ecological and biological

change.

Processes mediating the response of ecological systems, feedbacks influencing the drivers

Ecological and

organismal

responses

.

Biotic processes

8Slide9

Balancing Scientific Creativity with Baseline measurements

Hypotheses testing: ‘what can we do?’

Rationale for long term observations

Capabilities-based (network development)

Additional organizational complexity is often layered

Pro

Con

Scientific creativity

Comfort-level for scientists and bottom-up approaches

Complexity

becomes open-ended problem

Governance is often difficult, and not extensible

Difficult planning for Program Officers/Sponsors

Problematic for long term sustainability

Scientist’s Approach to Project Science

9Slide10

NEON’s Scientific / System Engineering Approach

Environmental Science Questions(Hypothesis Based Questions)

Identify Needed Information

(What are the Data Products?)

Science Requirements

(Science Sub-System Requirements

)

Technical and Design Requirements

(e.g., for Engineering,

CyberInfrastructure

)

REQU

I

REMENT

S

I NFORMA T I ON

Grand Challenge Science Questions

Raw Data Collection

10Slide11

Balancing Scientific Creativity with Baseline measurements

Formalized hierarchical requirements

Asks ‘what must be done?’

Measurements are considered baseline

Steps are parsed out (see diagram)

Pro

Con

New roles for scientists, both

internally and externally

Clearly defines scope, budget, schedule,

risks

Complexity is inherently planned

for

Develops planning horizons for Program Officers/Sponsors

Foster

s long term sustainability

Requirement

approach does not necessarily impose a single unique solution

Systems Engineering Approach

11Slide12

Scientist Roles

Capabilities based

(networks)

“What can we do?”

PI driven – grant structure

Strong scientific creativity

Deliverable ‘themes’

Discovery/experiments

Open ended

Requirements based

(

infrastructure)

What must be done?”

Community engagement

Mature baseline science

Well defined deliverables

Science sustainment

Manage costs/risk/scope

Examples

LTER +

iLTER

AmeriFlux

Fluxnet

BASIN

CZO

Carbo

-Europe

Examples

NSF Observatories

DOE ARM

NOAA US CRN

LHC at CERN

[

NASA] Satellites

12Slide13

NEON site design

13Slide14

NEON Domain themes

Agriculture

Climate

Forest systems

Invasion biology

Urban ecology

Aquatic

14Slide15

NEON Science Sub systems (alphabet soup)

FSU

Fundamental Sentinel Unit

Human

Obs.

Bioarchive

FIU

Fundamental Instrument Unit

Automated

Instrumentation

AOP

Airborne Observation Package

Aircraft Remote

Sensing

AQU

Aquatic/STREON

Human

Obs

/automated instrumentation

DPS

Data Products

Community-vetted

ensembled

DPs and Models

LUAP

Land Use Analysis Package

Satellite Remote Sensing

+

15Slide16

Fundamental Sentinel UnitBiodiversity

Population DynamicsProductivityPhenology

Infectious Disease

Biogeochemistry

Microbial Diversity and Function

Ecohydrology

**Sentinel Species**

16Slide17

Fundamental Sentinel UnitMicrobes

MosquitoesBeetles

Small Mammals

Birds

Fish

Aquatic Invertebrates

Plants

Generation Time

17Slide18

18

Generalized Terrestrial Sampling SchemeSlide19

Fundamental Instrument Unit

19Slide20

Instrumented measurements

Temperature

Moisture

Heath flux

Raditation

CO

2

Root growth and phenologySlide21

Fundamental Instrument Unit

Physical and chemical climate forcing

Ecosystem responses

Stand/plot level sampling

Automated instrumentation

Micrometeorological scalars and fluxes

Soil array

Over 2000 measurements per core site at frequencies of

Daily, and ~0.1 to 20 Hz

Total 50 Tb y-1

21Slide22

Airborne Observing Platform (AOP)

Three airborne remote sensing payloads:

Waveform-LiDAR altimeter

Imaging spectrometer

High-resolution digital camera

GPS-Inertial measurement unit

Leased Twin Otter aircraft

Instrumentation maintenance and calibration facility

Science and flight operations

22Slide23

Airborne Observing PlatformWaveform Light Detection and Ranging

+

High-fidelity Imaging Spectroscopy

What are we after

?

Detailed chemical, structural and taxonomic information on

ecosystems at

fine spatial resolution

Sampling at the scale of individual organisms (~<0.5m) over 400 sq. km around NEON sites

Bridge the scales from organisms (i.e., trees or shrubs) as captured by plot sampling, to stand scale observations as measured from flux towers, to the scale of satellite based remote sensing

23Slide24

Combined AIS / STREON Reach

Groundwater Well

Junction Box

Met Station

In-Stream Sensor Mount

PORTAL

Stream flow direction

S1

STR S2

S2

STR S1

STREON Baskets

STREON Baskets

Aquatic Reach

STREON Reach

Nutrient Addition System

2

nd

- Nutrient Addition System if reach is longer than 200m

PORTAL

24Slide25

Scaling Strategy

25Slide26

I would be remiss…..

Data Portal (http://data.neoninc.org) -

all data open and free

Large

suites of Data Products (

www.neoninc.org

/science/data

)

Education

and Outreach Program

State-of-the-Art

Calibration and Validation Lab

National and International Development

20 Field Labs across the US

Assignable Assets

Calibration and Validation Service

New data products

Additional Instrumentation

Mobile Instrument Platforms

Third Airborne Platform

etc

26Slide27

Ecological ObservatoryInformation infrastructure: Consistent, continental, long-term, multi-scaled data-sets and data products that serve as a context for research and education.

Physical Infrastructure: A research platform for investigator-initiated sensors, observations, and experiments providing physical infrastructure, cyberinfrastructure, human resources, and expertise, and program management and coordination.

The overarching goal of NEON is

to enable understanding and forecasting

of climate change, land use change, and invasive species on continental-scale ecology

by providing infrastructure

to support research in these areas.

27Slide28

Ecological ObservatoryCause and Effect Paradigm

Scale in Time and Space (from 20 Hz to 30 y, and from microbe to continent)Provide the data to enable an Ecological Forecasting

The overarching goal of NEON is

to enable understanding and forecasting

of climate change, land use change, and invasive species on continental-scale ecology

by providing infrastructure

to support research in these areas.

28Slide29

Ecological Forecasting

Aligned with establishing a baseline understanding now!! Casts the cause and effect paradigm of NEON into understanding present and future states of ecosystems:

What is the most likely future state of an ecological

system?

Provides an applied context of ‘what-if’ given a

decision made today?

Provides a conceptual framework

that can be applied to all elements in managing ecosystems: theory, exp design, experiments, implementation, infrastructure, data products

29Slide30

Ecological Forecasting30Slide31

How are ecological forecasting, experiments, and observations related?

The need for observations of the starting point (

now

)

The need for quantitative information about specific processes

--

particularly non-linear and stochastic processes

(

temperature sensitivity, susceptibility to drought, tipping points…)

Estimates of system state

Information on process parameters

Experiments/process studies to elucidate unknown processes and non-linear responses

Observations collected systematically over time and space to challenge iterative forecasts

A paradigm for ecological research?

31Slide32

32Science Developments

Data flows:Command, Control, Configuration

Algorithm Theoretical Basis Documents

Automated QA/QC

Data product catalogs

Sponsored Workshops

Phenocam

Network: Envisioning the future of near-surface remote sensing

Isotope Ecology: Accelerating the integration of NEON data in isotope ecology research

Notable Meetings:

American Geophysical Union

Ecological Society of America

Entomological Society of AmericaBiodiversity Information Working Group

Soil Science Society

NEON, Inc.

UpdateSlide33

Aligning Science Questions and Hypotheses, Requirements, Mission StatementsTraceability of Measurements

Algorithms/Procedures

Informatics

Mapping Questions to ‘what must be done’

Defines Joint Science Scope / Knowledge Gaps

define interfaces among respective Infrastructures

What is the algorithm or procedural process to create a data product?

Provides “consistent and compatible” data

Managed through

intercomparisons

What are their relative uncertainties?

Use of Recognized Standards

Traceability to Recognized Standards, or First PrinciplesKnown and managed signal:noiseManaging QA/QC

Uncertainty budgets

Standards – Data / Metadata formatsPersistent Identifiers / Open-sourceDiscovery tools / Portals

Ontologies, semantics and controlled vocabularies

1.

2.

3.

4.

Interoperability FrameworkSlide34

Informatics -- Building Block ApproachData / Metadata formats

Discipline specific Data FormatsISO 19115 (29115) compliantEML

Persistent Identifiers

Time series /

sos

Attribution / Publications

Community Acceptance

Data Providence

Ontologies, Semantics and Controlled Vocabularies

Discipline Specifice.g., BCO, OWL, PCO etc

Data Policies

Community acceptance

Open-sourceData ManagementPlans and accountabilityArchival Policy

Data SovereigntyIntellectual

Property RightsIndividual / InstitutionalDiscovery tools / Portals

Ease of useInteroperable / HarmonizedSlide35

Emergent bottom-up Networks

EREN — Ecological Research as Education Network

Laurie Anderson

erenweb.org

/

FunDivEurope—Functional Significance of Forest Biodiversity in Europe (also Biodepth-Jena)

Michael Scherer-Lorenzen

www.fundiveurope.eu

GLEON — Global Lake Ecological Observatory Network

Kathleen Weathers

www.gleon.org

/

iLTER

— Long Term Ecological Network

Scott Collins

www.lternet.edu

/

Biosphere Atmosphere Stable Isotope Network

Todd Dawson

basin.yolasite.com

/

NPN

— USA-National Phenology Network

Elizabeth Wolkovich

www.usanpn.org

USDA National Soil Carbon Network

Chris

Swantson

www.fluxdata.org

/

nscn

/

SitePages

/Home

NTSG — Numerical Terradynamic Simulation Group

Bill Smith

www.ntsg.umt.edu

/

NutNet — Nutrient Network

Eric Lind

www.nutnet.org

/

TraitNet — Trait Network (also BioMERGE)

Dan Bunker

traitnet.ecoinformatics.org

ZEN — Zostera Ecological Network

Pamela Reynolds

zenscience.org

/Slide36

NEON Focused

Interactions

European Union

(18 member countries in ICOS)

Italy

– Ecosystem Thematic Center

Finland – Governance and PM Germany

– Calibration and Validation Norway – intercomparison

European Union (COOPEUS) - LifewatchAustralia

– TERNFrance – EU ESFRI INRA ANAEE

Mexico and Canada – CarboNA + MexFluxKorea – KEON + KoFlux + AsiaFluxChina – CERNSlide37

R+RA CA

Abbreviated Institutional Structure – community engagement for research infrastructure

NEON Inc 501©3

Board of Directors

CEO

STEAC

National Science Foundation

Project Manager

Project Scientist

Observatory Director

MREFC CA

MREFC CA

R+RA CA

COMMISSIONING

TRANSITION

The NEON Observatory

Operations

Constrained activity

The NEON Project

Construction

Constrained activity

Assignable Assets

Airborne Platform

+ Instrumentation

MDP

Biol. Samples

/

Plots

Cal

/Val

Science Systems designed with limited community interface

Workshops

Working groups

Strategic Projects

Director

Scientific Community

Other Resources

NEON Inc

Development Activities

Open-ended activity

Examples

NEON Satellite Sites

Interoperability

New Experiments

New Infrastructure

International

Training Activities

COLLABORATIVE PROCESSSlide38

The National Ecological Observatory Network is a project sponsored by the National Science Foundation and managed under cooperative agreement by NEON Inc.