PPT-Making Predictions with Experimental Probability

Making Predictions with Experimental Probability Warm Up Probabilities can be used to make predictions in daily life A prediction is something that can reasonably be expected to happen in the future. 7.5 The student will read and demonstrate comprehension of a variety of fictional texts, narrative nonfiction, and poetry. .. e) Make. , confirm, and revise predictions. . What is a prediction? . A prediction is a forecast or an educated guess of what may happen next. Stylistic Self-negation. Changing Styles. A variety of visual and narrative styles.. Different visual and narrative . styles . employed in each film. Deliberate refusal of relying on a constant and enduring visual (narrative) . Stephen P. . Hubbell. (1942-. Motoo. . Kimura. (1924-1994). Neutral models try to explain ecological patterns by five basic stochastic processes:. Simple birth processes - Simple death processes. 2.1 Probability Experiments. Roll of a Die. Frequency. Number Rolled. A six sided die was rolled repeatedly to determine if there was a tendency for one number to be rolled more than the others. The results are displayed in the graph below.. Grades 3 – 5. © 2013 Texas Education Agency / The University of Texas System. “ Inferring is the bedrock of comprehension, not only in reading. We infer in many realms. Our life clicks along more smoothly if we can read the world as well as text. Inferring is about reading faces, reading body language, reading expressions, and reading tone as well as reading text.”. Lars Thomsen, Avondale College . Re-. conceptualising. probability. What has changed?. Changes in the Probability Standard. Old 2.6. New 2.13. Simulation . Tree diagrams. (old Level 1 probability). Simulate probability situations. Politics. Politics. How do you think someone’s political affiliation (Republican, Democrat, Green, Libertarian, Independent, etc.) may affect his or her analysis of the likelihood of certain world events? When have you seen this happen in real life?. Experimental probability. : . Probability based on a collection of data.. Will have a table of results or data from the experiment(s)!. What is the difference between . theoretical probability. and . line of best fit. scatter plots. interpolation. extrapolation. M. ake interpolations and extrapolations related to how long it will take for the candle to burn to ____ cm tall or to completely burn out.. 3.1 . The Concept of Probability. 3.2 . Sample Spaces and Events. 3.3 . Some Elementary Probability Rules. 3.4 . Conditional Probability and Independence. 3.5 . Bayes’ Theorem. 3-. 2. Probability Concepts. So, the basic experimental procedure in social science is:. Gathering of a subject pool and then . random assignment to conditions. Note: the . sample is not random. , but once you have a subject pool you flip a coin, etc. to determine which subjects receive which . So, the basic experimental procedure in social science is:. Gathering of a subject pool and then . random assignment to conditions. Note: the . sample is not random. , but once you have a subject pool you flip a coin, etc. to determine which subjects receive which . 7.9 and 7.10. Theoretical Probability. Theoretical Probability is the ratio of the number of ways an event can occur to the number of possible outcomes.. The . Theoretical Probability. of an event is the . probability of simple events. Why: . To calculate the probability of simple events and to analyze the difference . between theoretical probability and experimental probability.. Vocabulary:. . Probability– .