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GDP Growth Forecasts for 2019 Have Been Weakened in Recent Months GDP Growth Forecasts for 2019 Have Been Weakened in Recent Months

GDP Growth Forecasts for 2019 Have Been Weakened in Recent Months - PowerPoint Presentation

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GDP Growth Forecasts for 2019 Have Been Weakened in Recent Months - PPT Presentation

1 Source Consensus Economics Forecast period Technology Industries of Finland 872019 Growth of World trade has Stagnated 2 872019 Technology Industries of Finland ID: 813549

finland 2019 industries technology 2019 finland technology industries 2018 companies order source industry combined 2012 finnish 2013 2014 2011

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Slide1

GDP Growth Forecasts for 2019 Have Been Weakened in Recent Months

1

Source: Consensus Economics

Forecast

period

Technology Industries of Finland

8/7/2019

Slide2

Growth

of World trade has Stagnated

2

8/7/2019

Technology Industries of Finland

Source: Macrobond, The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis

Export

volume

Slide3

In Finland Growth of GDP Slowed Down already Last Year

3

Lähde: Macrobond

Technology Industries

of Finland

8/7/2019

Slide4

Performance at Industrial

Production Sligthly better in Finland than on

Average in EU

48/7/2019

Technology Industries of Finland

Slide5

Improvement

in Employment rate has Stagnated

5

8/7/2019

Technology Industries of Finland

Source: Statistics Finland

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Employment

rate

,

trend

, %

Slide6

Cost

Competitiveness has Improved in Finland but

We are Still Lagging Behind Competitors

6

8/7/2019

Unit

labour

costs

adjusted

for

the

terms of

trade

*

Eurobased

Index, 2005=100

*) Labour

compensation

relative

to

real

national

income

.

**)

First

12 euro

area

member

states. ***) 14 traditional industrial countries.Forecasts: Bank of Finland (Finland) and European Commission (other countries)Sources: Statistics Finland, Bank of Finland and European CommissionFinlandEuro area 12**Trading partners***

Slide7

Turnover of Finnish Technology Industry was 79 billion Euros in Year 2018

7

8/7/2019Technology Industries of Finland

Seasonally adjusted turnover indexSource: Macrobond, Statistics Finland

Slide8

Value of New Orders in

the Technology Industry* in Finland8

Source: The Federation of

Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent

companies, latest observation April-June 2019

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Million

euros

, at

current

prices

Change:

II,2019 / II,2018

II,2019 / I,2019

Export:

+7 %

-7 %

Domestic:

+25 %

+4 %

Combined:

+10 %

-4 %

*)

Excl

.

metals

industry

,

game

industry

and data center

companies

Technology Industries

of Finland

8/7/2019

Slide9

Tender

Requests* Received by the Technology Industry Companies

in Finland 9

Source: The Federation of Finnish

Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies,

the last questionnaire in July 2019.

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

*) ”

Have

you

experienced

a

notable

increase

or

decrease

in

the

number

of

requests

for

tenders

in

recent

weeks

in

comparison

to

the

situation

three

months

ago

?”.

Balance

figure

=

the number of companies receiving more requests - the number of companies receiving less requests.”Technology Industries of Finland8/7/2019

Slide10

Value of Order Books in the

Technology Industry* in Finland 10

Source: The Federation of Finnish

Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies

, latest observation 30th June 2019.

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Million

euros

, at

current

prices

Change:

30.6.2019 / 30.6.2018

30.6.2019 / 31.3.2019

Export:

+17 %

0 %

Domestic:

+11 %

+2 %

Combined:

+15 %

0 %

*)

Excl

.

metals

industry

,

game

industry

and data center

companies

Combined

Technology Industries

of Finland

8/7/2019

Slide11

Value of New Orders

in the Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland

11

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Million

euros

, at

current

prices

Change:

II,2019 / II,2018

II,2019 / I,2019

Export:

+21 %

+1 %

Domestic:

+9 %

+4 %

Combined:

+18 %

+2 %

Source

:

The

Federation of

Finnish

Technology

Industries

order

book

survey’s

respondent

companies

,

latest

observation

April-June

2019

Technology Industries

of Finland

8/7/2019

Slide12

Value of Order Books in the

Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland

12

Million

euros

, at

current

prices

Change:

30.6.2019 / 30.6.2018

30.6.2019 / 31.3.2019

Export:

+15 %

+2 %

Domestic:

+10 %

+2 %

Combined:

+14 %

+2 %

Combined

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Source

:

The

Federation of

Finnish

Technology

Industries

order

book

survey’s

respondent

companies

,

latest

observation

30th

June

2019.

Technology Industries

of Finland

8/7/2019

Slide13

Value of New Orders in

the Mechanical Engineering in Finland

13

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Million

euros

, at

current

prices

Change:

II,2019 / II,2018

II,2019 / I,2019

Export:

-4 %

-12 %

Domestic:

+39 %

+1 %

Combined:

+3 %

-10 %

Source

:

The

Federation of

Finnish

Technology

Industries

order

book

survey’s

respondent

companies

,

latest

observation

April-June

2019

Technology Industries

of Finland

8/7/2019

Slide14

Value of Order Books in the

Mechanical Engineering in Finland

14

Million

euros

, at

current

prices

Change:

30.6.2019 / 30.6.2018

30.6.2019 / 31.3.2019

Export:

+17 %

-1 %

Domestic:

+14 %

+4 %

Combined:

+17 %

0 %

Combined

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Source

:

The

Federation of

Finnish

Technology

Industries

order

book

survey’s

respondent

companies

,

latest

observation

30th

June

2019.

Technology Industries

of Finland

8/7/2019

Slide15

Turnover of the Metals Industry in Finland

15

Seasonal adjusted turnover index

Source: Statistics Finland

8/7/2019

Technology Industries of Finland

Slide16

Production Volume of the Metals Industry in Finland

16

Seasonal adjusted volume indexSource:

Statistics Finland

8/7/2019

Technology Industries of Finland

Slide17

Value of New Orders in the

Consulting Engineering in Finland17

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Million

euros

, at

current

prices

Change:

II,2019 / II,2018

II,2019 / I,2019

Export:

+49 %

-16 %

Domestic:

+4 %

-10 %

Combined:

+8 %

-11 %

Source

:

The

Federation of

Finnish

Technology

Industries

order

book

survey’s

respondent

companies

,

latest

observation

April-June

2019.

Technology Industries

of Finland

8/7/2019

Slide18

Value of Order Books in the

Consulting Engineering in Finland18

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Million

euros

, at

current

prices

Change:

30.6.2019 / 30.6.2018

30.6.2019 / 31.3.2019

Export:

-15 %

-9 %

Domestic:

+9 %

-7 %

Combined:

+6 %

-8 %

Combined

Source

:

The

Federation of

Finnish

Technology

Industries

order

book

survey’s

respondent

companies

,

latest

observation

30th

June

2019.

Technology Industries

of Finland

8/7/2019

Slide19

Value of New Orders in the

Information Technology* in Finland

19

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Million

euros

, at

current

prices

Change:

II,2019 / II,2018

II,2019 / I,2019

Combined:

+26 %

+5 %

*)

Excl

.

game

industry

and data center

companies

Source

:

The

Federation of

Finnish

Technology

Industries

order

book

survey’s

respondent

companies

,

latest

observation

April-June

2019.

Technology Industries of Finland8/7/2019

Slide20

Value of Order Books in the

Information Technology* in Finland

20

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Million

euros

, at

current

prices

Change:

30.6.2019 / 30.6.2018

30.6.2019 / 31.3.2019

Combined:

+10 %

+4 %

*)

Excl

.

game

industry

and data center

companies

Source

:

The

Federation of

Finnish

Technology

Industries

order

book

survey’s

respondent

companies

,

latest

observation

30th

June

2019. Technology Industries of Finland8/7/2019