PPT-Scenario Planning in a Low Growth Environment

Nebraska Actuaries Club January 30 2019 Max J Rudolph FSA CFA CERA MAAA Outlier Scenario SOA Research Projects A Low Growth World Implications for the Insurance Industry and Pension Plans. Outline. Overview of scenario development workshops. List of shortlisted scenarios. Scenario descriptions. Next steps. The 2016 LTSA Scenario Development. ERCOT facilitated three scenario . d. evelopment workshops for the 2016 LTSA. Robert A. Winfree, Ph.D.. U. S. National Park Service. From Williams, . Szaro. and Shapiro. 2007. Which Tool for the Job?. Scenario Planning in Alaska. Five Step Process. Frame the Issue. Assess Information. National Cases. Peter Mehlbye. Planning for Regional Development. National Planning Framework – Roadmap for Irelands future?. RSA Conference in Galway, 9 September 2016. Structure. Game changers and European policy dynamics. Envision Tomorrow. www.frego.com. What is . Envision Tomorrow?. Suite of planning tools:. Prototype Builder. Return . on Investment (ROI) model . Scenario Builder . Extension . for . ArcGIS. . What is . Sandeep Borkar. June 2017, RPG Meeting. Agenda. Summary of LTSA Survey. Generation Expansion Methodology. Breakout sessions – scenario assumptions. 2018 LTSA: . Key drivers – survey responses. 3. Forget the Box:. 15. th. TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference. Atlantic City, NJ. May 17-21, 2015. 2011. Recent Trends. 2012. 2013. Delmarva Freight Plan. VA. DE. MD. NJ. PA. Scenario Planning Process RSENR University of Vermont Susan Stickley Stratus, Inc. August 6, 2019 Susan Stickley Stratus, Inc. “There is this totally absurd notion that knowledge proceeds in neat steps from known facts through logical deduction.” Scenario Planning. Jessica Morriss, AICP. Transportation Planning Manager. City of Missoula & Missoula MPO. Over. view. Introduction to Missoula MPO. Missoula’s scenario planning experiences. Community engagement. Black Sky Scenario. Tabletop Exercise. Tabletop Exercise. 2. Welcome and introductions. Discuss agenda for the day. Review administrative details. Start the exercise. Welcome and Introductions. Name. CIL Knowledge. Introduction. Long term Strategic Planning. Carefully calculated needs assessments. Business Cases. Options appraisal. Building political consensus. Delivery routes. Working with private providers. We have a long history of it, in fact.. “Who the hell wants. to hear actors talk?”. HARRY WARNER . 1925. One of the Warner Brothers. “I think there is a world. market for maybe. five computers. is a methodical and systematic process for preparing for and developing a course of action in the face of unexpected events that can adversely impact your business.. The first step in Contingency Planning is to conduct a risk analysis, which includes identifying all of the risks potentially confronting your organization and . Tabletop Exercise. Tabletop Exercise. 2. Welcome and . introductions. Discuss agenda for the day. Review administrative details. Start the exercise. Welcome and Introductions. Name. Organization. Emergency response experience. Objective and Outline. Guidance for Scenario Planning. Scenario Planning is important because:. Organizations have found that a rapidly-changing future frustrates point-to-point forecasting techniques.