PPT-Design of Experiments and the Probability of

Raid Annihilation P RA Testbed 860 Greenbrier Circle Suite 305 Chesapeake VA 23320 wwwavwtechcom Phone 7573619581 Fax 7573619585 Presenter Richard Lawrence AVW Technologies Inc. Experimentation . Experiments and Torture. Some of the information is taken from Nazi Human Experimentation. Human Experimentation . Experiments on twins. Bone, muscle, limb and nerve transplant . Freezing experiments. Listening . to the Customers, not to the . HiPPO. Ronny Kohavi, . General Manager. Experimentation Platform, Microsoft. ronnyk@microsoft.com. . The Analytics . Revolution, Apr 2010. , . SDForum. 2. Amazon . . True Experiments. Characteristics. Threats to validity controlled by experiments. Threats not controlled by experiments. Obstacles to true experiments in the field. . Quasi-experiments. The logic of quasi-experiments . calculus. 1 ≥ . Pr. (h) ≥ 0. If e deductively implies h, then Pr(h|e) = 1. .. (disjunction rule) If h and g are mutually exclusive, then . Pr. (h or g) = . Pr. (h) . Pr. (g). (disjunction rule) If h and g are . Probability Terminology. Classical Interpretation. : Notion of probability based on equal likelihood of individual possibilities (coin toss has 1/2 chance of Heads, card draw has 4/52 chance of an Ace). Origins in games of chance.. 3.1 . The Concept of Probability. 3.2 . Sample Spaces and Events. 3.3 . Some Elementary Probability Rules. 3.4 . Conditional Probability and Independence. 3.5 . Bayes’ Theorem. 3-. 2. Probability Concepts. 4. Introduction. (slide 1 of 3). A key . aspect of solving real business problems is dealing appropriately with uncertainty.. This involves recognizing explicitly that uncertainty exists and using quantitative methods to model uncertainty.. Slide . 2. Probability - Terminology. Events are the . number. of possible outcome of a phenomenon such as the roll of a die or a fillip of a coin.. “trials” are a coin flip or die roll. Slide . Sixth Edition. Douglas C. Montgomery George C. . Runger. Chapter 2 Title and Outline. 2. 2. Probability. 2-1 Sample Spaces and Events . 2-1.1 Random Experiments. 2-1.2 Sample Spaces . La gamme de thé MORPHEE vise toute générations recherchant le sommeil paisible tant désiré et non procuré par tout types de médicaments. Essentiellement composé de feuille de morphine, ce thé vous assurera d’un rétablissement digne d’un voyage sur . A value between zero and one that describe the relative possibility(change or likelihood) an event occurs.. The MEF announces that in 2012 the change Cambodia economic growth rate is equal to 7% is 80%.. Probability and Probability Distribution Dr Manoj Kumar Bhambu GCCBA-42, Chandigarh M- +91-988-823-7733 mkbhambu@hotmail.com Probability and Probability Distribution: Definitions- Probability Rules –Application of Probability 4. Compute the number of combinations of . n. individuals taken . k. at a time.. Use . combinations to calculate probabilities.. Use . the multiplication counting principle and combinations to calculate probabilities.. Xiaomei. Zhang. IHEP Computing . Center. Outline. Overview of IHEP experiments. General Challenges . Challenges and practice of software. JUNO Neutrino experiment . Status and challenges of computing.