L andscape Doug Lewis RPF SISCO Winter Workshop February 2016 Study the Past if You Would Define the Future Confucius History Repeats Itself Sweden Linder and Ostlund 1998 In ID: 541150
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Slide1
Opportunities for Directing Change on the Forested Landscape
Doug Lewis, RPFSISCO Winter WorkshopFebruary, 2016Slide2
“Study the Past if You Would
Define the Future”ConfuciusSlide3
History Repeats Itself….Slide4
Sweden
Linder and
Ostlund
(1998) In
Lindenmayer
and Fischer (2006) Slide5
Northeastern United States Slide6Slide7
Dry Douglas Fir and Ponderosa Pine forests near Kamloops, BC
(
Klenner
et al. 2008)
Glacier National Park(Johnson et al. 1990)
Taylor and Carroll ( 2004)Slide8
Source:
H
agerman et al. 2010Slide9
Parks and Protected Areas in BC, Since 1939Slide10
Source: BC Ministry of Forests State of the Forest Report 2010Slide11
Kamloops Area
Global Forest Change Viewer, University of
M
aryland
2014
2013
2012
2000+
No Change
WaterSlide12
Gain (2000-2012)
Loss (2000-2012)
Loss and gain
Forested area
Non-Forest
Water
North Thompson- Wells Gray Park
Global Forest Change Viewer, University of
M
aryland
Murtle
Lake
Blue River
ClearwaterSlide13
CEA Watershed Assessment Results: South Portion of Kamloops TSA
Effects:
MPB salvage
+
NRS Activity
+
Significant historic effects
(private land)
+
Location of forest clearing that interacts with Range useSlide14
Moose
CEA Results – Moose-Kamloops TSA
Likelihood of Population Decline
Associated with:Predation
Increased access – huntingLoss of thermal cover habitatsSlide15
CEA Results-Pine marten-Kamloops TSA
Likelihood of Population DeclineAssociated with:Habitat protection in the northParks
Mountain caribou recoveryHabitat loss and fragmentation in middle and south of TSAMPB Salvage harvest
Pine Marten
Low
Moderate
HighSlide16
Results of Cumulative Effects Assessments
Effects on values a result of combined influence of many factors
Impacts often unintended
Forest and other sectors generally compliantSometimes not achieving stated objectives for valuesSuggests policy and/or regulator reviewClarify Objectives
Evaluate EffectivenessSlide17
Opportunities for Defining the Future
Change is not easy.Opportunities exist for ‘positive’ changeDiscuss and choose what those changes should look like to help define the future.
When asked; “would you rather work for change or just complain?”
81% of the respondents replied:“Do I have to choose? This is hard.”