PPT-Decision Making without State Probabilities

This is called DMUUDecision Making Under Uncertainty Decision Criteria No state probabilitiesYour model is one of UNCERTAINTY Use UNCERTAINTY criteria Got state probabilitiesYour model is one of RISK. Sarah Lennon. Inclusion Ireland. Overview. The current situation in Ireland. Context for Change. Typical Case Studies. The Future. Currently in Ireland. Status Approach to Capacity. Decision that someone ‘lacks capacity’. SYSTEMS. Decision Support Software. Reasons for the growth of decision-making information systems. People need to analyze large amounts of information. People must make decisions quickly. People must apply sophisticated analysis techniques, such as modeling and forecasting, to make good decisions. Prof. Dr. . . Y. İlker TOPCU. www.ilkertopcu.. net. . www.. ilkertopcu. .org. . www.. ilkertopcu. .. info. facebook.com/. yitopcu. . twitter.com/. yitopcu. instagram.com/. yitopcu. Credits: 3+0. SYSTEMS. Decision Support Software. Reasons for the growth of decision-making information systems. People need to analyze large amounts of information. People must make decisions quickly. People must apply sophisticated analysis techniques, such as modeling and forecasting, to make good decisions. : active efforts to discover what must be done to achieve a goal that is not readily attainable. TYPES OF PROBLEMS. Problems of inducing structure. : relations among numbers, words, symbols, ideas. Problems of arrangement. Andrew Sutton. Learning objectives. Understand:. the role of modelling in economic evaluation. the construction and analysis of decision trees. the design and interpretation of a simple Markov model. Lauren . Reinerman. -Jones, Grace . Teo. , and . Avonie. Parchment. “Why do leaders fail? They make poor choices that lead to bad decisions. And in some cases they compound bad decision upon bad decision. You cannot separate leadership from . Learning Outcomes. Identify the steps in the decision-making process. Describe various models of decision making. Discuss the individual influences that affect decision making. Explain how groups make decisions. Chathuri Senarath. Senior Lecturer- University of . Kelaniya. Decision makers need to understand that they operate with uncertain futuristic information which in turn is likely to make their decision risky (due to inaccurate information taken in decision making). . 6. Introduction. A formal . framework for analyzing decision problems that involve . uncertainty includes:. Criteria . for choosing among alternative . decisions. How probabilities are used in the decision-making . Decision . Making Styles. Planful. – A step-by-step process is used to identify alternatives and to choose one.. Painful – A lot of time and energy are spent, but a choice is not made.. Impulsive – A choice is made without adequately finding alternatives or collecting information about the self and alternatives.. Statin Choice Decision Aid Share-Decision Making SCIP Shared Decision Making Shared Decision Making Glasziou and Haynes ACP JC 2005 Promote a process where patients and clinicians make a choice together. THE LABOUR COURT OF SOUTH AFRICA, JOHANNESBURG JUDGMENT Reportable Case N o: JR2584/2012 In the matter between: ASSMANG LIMITED (ASSMANG CHROME DWARSRIVER MINE) Applicant and COMMISSION FOR CONC Neil Harrison. University of Sussex. Formerly: Institute of Cognitive Neuroscience . & Wellcome Trust Centre for Neuroimaging. Multiple decision making systems. What happens when one or other breaks down?.