PDF-EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LA

Media Representative 9704912658 is Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University Email amieatmoscolostateedu Research Scientist Professor Emeritus of Atmospheric Science For. Developed over the course of sev eral years in consultation with emergency managers broadcast meteorologists and others this new map will show eographical areas where inundation from storm surge could occur How high above ground the water could reac Extended Stay Cottages offers alternatives to motels and hotels in Vernal, Utah. Homey, furnished, and clean! Chris Landsea National Hurricane Center. March 2010. Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference. How does NHC analyze and forecast hurricanes?. How do the forecasters blend the various (surface . obs. 1 ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2 0 1 5 We anticipate that the 2015 Atlantic basin hurricane season will be one of the least active seasons since the middle of the 20 th century . Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University Email: amie@atmos.colostate.edu Project Sponsors: Research Scientist Professor Emeritus of Atmospheric Science 1 Forecast Parameter 1 ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2 0 1 5 We anticipate that the 2015 Atlantic basin hurricane season will be one of the least active seasons since the middle of the 20 th century . hindcast. (seasonal mean). CPC/NCEP/NOAA. Jan 2011. Forecast & observation data. Assessment of the CFSv2 seasonal . forecasts. Compare the forecast correlation skill, . Rmse. , and Standard deviation from CFSv2 & CFSv1(current version). Frederick Bingham. UNC Wilmington. Collaborators: Julius . Busecke. ,. Arnold Gordon and Claudia . Giulivi. (LDEO), . Zhijin. Li (JPL). Also thanks to J. . D’Addezio. !. Work funded by NASA. Journal of Geophysical Research Oceans doi:10.1002/2014JC009825. The North Atlantic Oscillation’s (NAO) Impact on the Atlantic Hurricane Season. Overview. • North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). • Data. • Methods. . ◦. Univariate. Statistics. . ◦ Bivariate Statistics. C. yclone . A. ctivity . M. ediated by the African Monsoon. Objective. Quantify the impacts of North . Atlantic . & Mediterranean . (NAMED) . sea surface temperature (SST) on Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) activity. 2 surface temperatures steadily took its toll on Jova and the cyclone rapidly weakened to a tropical storm late on 22 September about 350 n mi east-northeast of Hilo. Jova became a tropical depressio . Frank . Revitte. National Weather Service. Weather Forecast Office. New Orleans/Baton Rouge. 2017 Seasonal Recap. Above normal activity. 17 Total Named Storms. 7. Tropical Storms. 4. Hurricanes . Maj John McCrory . Louisiana Wing Director of Safety. Hurricane Preparedness. What to do to prepare for an approaching Hurricane.. What is your role in protecting yourself, your family and Civil Air Patrol resources you are responsible for?. Volume 6 , No. 4 128 QiaoSheng DONG University of Cambridge , U K E mail : dongqiaosheng@gmail.com Abstract : When considering the cause of diseases, the Hippocratic authors paid much attention to th