PPT-A Simple, Fast Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm for Risk Models

Kerry Emanuel Lorenz Center MIT Motivations Most current TC risk models are based on statistical algorithms for generating synthetic tracks and associated wind fields Statistical T. SOES 6026 – Radar Remote Sensing. Ray Bell. Tropical cyclones. Applications. Scatterometers. Altimeters. SARs. Forecasting. Conclusions. Applications. Influence 10,000s people every year and can shape financial markets.. Weather Systems. The image above shows a . midlatitude. cyclone that was called the “1993 . Superstorm. ” and “The Storm of the Century.” This mid-March cyclone brought blizzard conditions to the E. coast. Mid-latitude cyclones are easy to identify . Eric W. Uhlhorn. NOAA/AOML/Hurricane Research Division. Bradley W. Klotz . University of Miami/RSMAS/CIMAS and HRD. 2015 Tropical Cyclone Research Forum. 4. . March 2015. Acknowledgements. 2. NOAA Office of Weather and Air Quality JHT. Co-PI’s:. Wayne Schubert. 1. Mark DeMaria. 2. Buck Sampson. 3. Jim Cummings. 4. Team Members:. John Knaff. 2. Brian McNoldy. 5. Kate Musgrave. 6. Chris Slocum. 1. Rick Taft. 1. Scott Fulton. 7. Andrea Schumacher. vs. . Remote effect. Sourav Taraphdar. 1. Collaborators. :. 1. . Fuqing. Zhang, . Yonghui. . Weng. , Michael (Yue) Ying. 2. . Shuguang. Wang. 3. Juan . Fang. 1. Department of Meteorology, The Pennsylvania State University, . Ethan Wright: UNC Asheville. Research Advisor: . Dr. Christopher . Hennon. 04/22/2015. Peak Intensity: 190 mph. Lowest Pressure: 870 . mb. Small eye size of 8 nm . Super Typhoon Tip (1979). Super Typhoon Winnie (1997). http://glossary.ametsoc.org/wiki/. Tropical_cyclone. . http://glossary.ametsoc.org/wiki/. Tropical_cyclone. . Necessary, but not sufficient, conditions for tropical cyclogenesis. (Gray, 1968). Although the initial mechanisms by which tropical cyclones might form can vary from ocean basin to ocean basin, the process by which TCs develop should be similar globally. Paul A. Kucera. , Barb G. Brown, . Christopher L. . Williams, and Louisa Nance. NCAR/Research Applications . Laboratory. 69. th. Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference. Jacksonville, FL. 03 March 2015. Suzana J. Camargo,. Mingfang. Ting and . Yochanan. . Kushnir. LDEO, Columbia University. GloDecH. Meeting, OCP, LDEO, December 14, 2011.. Atlantic PDI . (power dissipation index ~. . V. 3. max. ) . -1- Hurricane Nora 1-9 October 2003 Lixion. A. Avila National Hurricane Center 4 November 2003 a.Synoptic History Nora developed from a tropical wave that moved off the coast of Africa on 13 Septe 2 surface temperatures steadily took its toll on Jova and the cyclone rapidly weakened to a tropical storm late on 22 September about 350 n mi east-northeast of Hilo. Jova became a tropical depressio Nenad. . Leder. Faculty of Maritime Studies, . Ruđera. . Boškovića. 37, 21000 Split, Croatia, nenad.leder@pfst.hr. Zvonimir . Lušić. Faculty of Maritime Studies, . Ruđera. . Boškovića. 37, 21000 Split, Croatia. Kerry Emanuel. Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Storm Max Power Dissipation. (Smoothed with a 1-3-4-3-1 filter). Name: . Location: . Date: . Choose one of the following websites and use it to complete the Case Study sheet:. Cyclone . Idai. : . https://www.internetgeography.net/weather-and-climate/cyclone-idai-case-study/.