DRM-SD: Risk and Disaster Defined - PowerPoint Presentation

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DRM-SD:Risk and Disaster Defined

DRM-SD Learning LabFreedom Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia2-4 February 2016

Prof. K.

Koshy Centre for Global Sustainability Studies (CGSS)Universiti Sains Malaysiakanayathu.koshy@gmail.comSlide2

Triple Bottom Line Model - SDSlide3

Strong Sustainability Model - SDSlide4

Risk-Disaster: Game 1 ferocious, dog, boy, school, afraid, bite, road, father,

community leaders, dog owner, chain, weak, house, strong, situation, car, risk, friends, happy, pole…Slide5

Risk-Disaster: Game 2 hazard, exposure unit, capacity, vulnerable, risk,

impacts, disaster, coping, strategy, mitigation, great, minimise, adaptation, improved, happy…Slide6

Hazard: a potentially damaging physical event, phenomenon, or human activity that may cause injury, property damage, social and economic disruption, environmental degradation or loss of life.

HazardSlide7

Impact: the manifestation (realisation) of the destructive forces of hazards that destroy life and properties.

ImpactSlide8

Exposure units: the sectors or groups that are impacted upon.- Stronger the coping capacity, weaker the impact -

Exposure UnitsSlide9

Capacity: a combination of all the strengths and resources available within a community, society or organization that can reduce the level of risk or the effects of a disaster.

CapacitySlide10

Vulnerability: the conditions determined by physical, social, economic and environmental factors or processes which increase the susceptibility (inability to withstand) of a community to the impact of hazards.(Antonym – Resilient)

VulnerabilitySlide11

Risk: the probability (likely, ‘chance’) of harmful consequences, or expected losses/damage (injuries, property, livelihood, economic activity disrupted or environment damaged, deaths)

resulting from interaction between natural or human-induced hazards and vulnerable exposure units.RiskSlide12

Disaster: “a serious disruption of the functioning of society, causing widespread human, material or environmental losses which exceed the capacity of exposure units

to cope using only its own resources.”DisasterSlide13

Disaster is “Realised Risk”…Risk equations =>

DisasterSlide14

Risk Management 2/3

ISDR Risk Equation:Hazard x Vulnerability = Risk CapacityRealised Risk is DisasterSlide15

Risk Management 1/3

Hazard - Mitigation = VulnerabilityRealised Risk is DisasterSlide16

Risk Management 3/3 Impact

- Adaptation = VulnerabilityRealised Risk is Disaster Slide17

Response MeasuresMitigation: source ↓ & sink ↑Adaptation: coping with consequencesSlide18
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…the Risk that still remains after all response measures…Residual RiskSlide20

x

1

Frequency

Climate variable (e.g. precipitation)

wetter

drier

AdaptationSlide21

x

1

Adapted

(

autonomously

)

Climate variable (e.g. precipitation)

Frequency

drier

r

wetterSlide22

Adapted

(

autonomously

)

Adapted

(explicitly)

x

1

Climate variable (e.g. precipitation)

Frequency

P

1

P

2

x

2

Climate Change

“

Acceptable

Risk” thresholdSlide23

Adapted

(

autonomously

)

Adapted

(explicitly)

x

1

Climate variable (e.g. precipitation)

Frequency

P

1

P

2

x

2

Adapted to Climate ChangeSlide24
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CC Adaptation – AR5, 2014Slide26

Year

Vulnerability/Risk

‘Business as usual’ Growth

Required by

sustainable development

Technical solutions

Two bridges are needed to close the vulnerability/risk gap

Technical

bridge

Ethical

bridgeSlide27
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SUMMARY of the Hyogo Framework for Action 2005-2015:

Building the Resilience of Nations and Communities to Disasters (HFA)Slide29
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http://cgss.usm.my

Thank YouSlide37

Activities

Objective TreeProblem Tree

Cause - Effect

LOGICAL FRAMEWORK ANALYSISSlide38

The Triple

B

ottom Line of SDSlide39
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