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Irrational Reasoning Irrational Reasoning

Irrational Reasoning - PowerPoint Presentation

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Uploaded On 2016-05-31

Irrational Reasoning - PPT Presentation

PAY ATTENTION Do Now Aristotle warned that humans make errors in their thinking Describe a scenario where this might occur Get out your cell phone Scroll on F acebooktwitter for the next three minutes ID: 343002

bias probability framing tendency probability bias tendency framing effect program mindlessness heuristic machine problem heuristics excuse saved write copy

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Slide1

Irrational Reasoning

PAY ATTENTION! Slide2

Do Now

Aristotle warned that humans make errors in their thinking. Describe a scenario where this might occur. Slide3

Get out your cell phone.

Scroll on

F

acebook/twitter for the next three minutes.

Act as normally as you can with this. Do not interact with your peers.

Did you notice anything else happening in the room? Slide4

Count the people.

Youtube

: Slide5

Mindlessness

Your brain on auto-pilot.

Three statements:

“Excuse me, may I use the copy machine.”

“Excuse me, may I use the copy machine to make copies.”

“Excuse me, may I use the copy machine, I am in a rush.”

Langer, Blank,

Chanowitz

(1978). Slide6

The Consequences of Mindlessness

The development of the teenage pre-frontal cortex is CRITICAL for them to make sound decisions later in life.

If you are mindless, you are more likely to engage in poor decision making.

Recent research says that teenager’s use of cell phones/ social media is preventing their prefrontal cortex from developing, limiting their identity development and causing high rates of episodic depression. Slide7

What are some examples of ways to prevent

mindlessness

that we have spoken about? Slide8

Heuristics and Bias

*happen most often when

mindlessness exists

*

Heuristics: Rely on “common sense.”

Bias: Based on tendencies (behavior patterns) and assumptions based on background knowledge. Slide9

Let’s Trick Some Kids

You are going to write questions to test irrational thinking on students or your family. Slide10

In your books: page 231

Write the definitions (in your own words) and then in your partner group, write questions that would demonstrate the bias or heuristic. Slide11

Affect Heuristic

We all have the tendency to exaggerate the probability of unlikely events. Our brains were not designed to be alarmed to FUTURE threats.

The tendency to consult one’s emotions instead of logical analysis of problem. Slide12

Affect Heuristic Example Slide13

Availability Heuristic

The tendency to judge the probability of a type of event by how easy it is to think of examples or instances. Slide14

Availability Heuristics

Shark attacks.

Lottery winning. Slide15

Framing Effect

A quick demonstration. Slide16

The Framing Effect

Problem one:

First program:

100% probability that 1/3 are saved.

Second program:

1/3 probability that all are saved.

2/3 probability that nobody is saved. Slide17

Framing Effect

Problem 2:

First program:

100% probability that 2/3 die

Second program:

1/3 probability that nobody dies

2/3 probability that all dieSlide18

Framing Effect

The tendency for people’s choice to be affected by how choice is presented or framed, such as whether it is worded in terms of potential losses or gains. Slide19

Fairness Bias

Ultimatum game and behavioral economics.

Would you share your money? Slide20

The Hindsight Bias

Example:

Youtube

video. How many miles would we travel at 80 miles per hour?

The tendency to overestimate one’s ability to have predicted an event once the outcome is known.

“I knew it all along.”Slide21

Confirmation Bias

Paying attention to only evidence that confirms their belief.