PPT-Living In A World Of Uncertainty

Isaiah 617 In the year that King Uzziah died I saw the Lord sitting upon a throne high and lifted up and the train of his robe filled the temple Above him stood the seraphim Each had six wings with two he covered his face and with two he covered his feet and with two he flew And one called to another and said Holy holy holy is the Lord of hosts the whole earth is full of his glory . brPage 1br Living with Uncertainty The Bookends Scenarios for the future of public libraries in 2030 Presentation by Oliver Freeman The Neville Freeman Agency brPage 2br I READ THE NEWS TO Jake Blanchard. Spring 2010. Uncertainty Analysis for Engineers. 1. Introduction. We’ve discussed single-variable probability distributions. This lets us represent uncertain inputs. But what of variables that depend on these inputs? How do we represent their uncertainty?. Nick Bloom (Stanford & NBER). Harvard, April 23. rd. and 30. th. Talk summarizes . a forthcoming JEP article (& a work-in-progress longer JEL). Talk summarizes . a forthcoming JEP article (& a work-in-progress longer JEL). IB DP Physics. Error Bars. U. sed . on graphs to display the uncertainty in measurements of the data . points.. T. here . may be uncertainty in just the y-values, just the x-values, or . both. .. Must be included in all DP Physics data analysis including your Internal Assessment. Manipulating symbols. Last class. Typology of signs. Sign systems. Symbols. Tremendously important distinctions for informatics and computational sciences. Computation = symbol manipulation. Symbols can be manipulated without reference to content (syntactically. Joseph B. Kadane. Carnegie Mellon University. kadane@stat.cmu.edu. “Prediction is difficult, especially about the future”. Niels. Bohr. Robert Storm Peterson. Yogi Berra. Samuel Goldwyn. Mark Twain. in Precipitation Data Records. Yudong Tian. Collaborators: Ling Tang, Bob Adler, George Huffman, . Xin Lin, Fang Yan, Viviana Maggioni and Matt Sapiano.  . University of Maryland & NASA/GSFC. http://sigma.umd.edu. Nick Bloom (Stanford & NBER). Harvard, April 23. rd. and 30. th. Talk summarizes . a forthcoming JEP article (& a work-in-progress longer JEL). Talk summarizes . a forthcoming JEP article (& a work-in-progress longer JEL). John L. Campbell. 1. , Ruth D. Yanai. 2. , Mark B. . Green. 1,3. , Carrie . Rose . Levine. 2. , Mary Beth Adams. 1. , Douglas A. Burns. 4. ,. . Donald C. Buso. 5. , . Mark E. Harmon. 6. , Trevor Keenan. for S2D forecasting. EUPORIAS wp31. Nov 2012, Ronald Hutjes. Background. S2D impact prediction. Uncertainty explosion / Skill implosion ??. SST. Weather. (Downscaling). Soil moisture. Plant productivity. “The . scientist has a lot of experience with ignorance and doubt and uncertainty, and this experience is of very great importance, I think. . When . a scientist does not know the answer to a problem, he is ignorant. When he has a hunch as to what the result is, he is uncertain. And when he is pretty damn sure of what the result is going to be, he is still in some doubt. OUTLINE. Accelerator Pre-alignment background. Uncertainty and GUM supplement 1. PACMAN pre-alignment budgeting . CMM uncertainty modeling. Thermal uncertainty compensation and modeling. First stochastic modeling results. Africa Regional Workshop on the Building of Sustainable National. Greenhouse Gas Inventory Management Systems, and the use of the 2006. IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories. Swakopmund.