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Maritime Drug Interdiction Through UAV Surveillance Maritime Drug Interdiction Through UAV Surveillance

Maritime Drug Interdiction Through UAV Surveillance - PowerPoint Presentation

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Maritime Drug Interdiction Through UAV Surveillance - PPT Presentation

Presented by LT Monica Schneider LT Sylvester Campos LT Mike Dickenson Background US Counter Drug Programs Goal Reduce the flow of Latin American sourced Illicit drugs into the US ID: 320510

uav lbs drug nodes lbs uav nodes drug million interdictions supply flow cocaine cost uavs station coast operation additional

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Presentation Transcript

Slide1

Maritime Drug Interdiction Through UAV Surveillance

Presented by

LT

Monica

Schneider

LT

Sylvester Campos

LT

Mike DickensonSlide2

Background

US Counter Drug Programs Goal: Reduce the flow of Latin American sourced Illicit drugs into the U.S.Interdiction methodsStricter Cross Border ControlSupply reduction - Crop Eradication

Primary source of Cocaine

Bolivia, Columbia, Peru account for all cocaine harvested in the worldSlide3

2012 CBP

Cocaine Seizure StatisticsCoastal Border Sectors24 Seizures5,953 PoundsSouthwest Border Sectors

457 Seizures

5,992 PoundsSlide4
Slide5

Drug Traffickers Transport Methods

Self-Propelled Semisubmersibles (SPSSs)

Go-Fast Boats

Fishing Vessels

Container ShipsSlide6

The Latest in the Drug War “Operation

Martillo

Operation

Martillo

is a multinational interagency and joint military operation that combats aerial and maritime drug trafficking off Central America’s coasts. U.S. military participation is led by Joint Interagency Task Force South (JIATF), a component of U.S. Southern Command

.

Partnership of 14 various countriesSlide7

Successes of Operation

MartilloJanuary 24, 2013 – Coast Guard intercepted 1,400 pounds of cocaine ($17 million) from a smuggler go-fast boatApril 26, 2013 – Coast Guard intercepted 2,200 pounds of cocaine ($27 million) from a fishing vessel June 1, 2013 - $527 million worth in Cocaine from 2 Speed BoatsSlide8

Assets for Maritime Interdiction

Support from 4th Fleet4 Frigates Patrol in 2 zones (Pacific/Atlantic) coasts of South AmericaCoast Guard A/C and Cutters600 Person Multiagency Task Force

Partner

n

ations contribute Patrol Boats and P-3’s (Canada)

4 UAV’s Slide9

MQ-9

Predator

General Characteristics

Primary Function:

A

irborne

surveillance and target acquisition

Fuel

Capacity:

100 gallons

Payload:

450

pounds

Speed

:

Cruise speed around 84 mph (70 knots), up to 135 mph

Ceiling

:

up to

50

,000 feet

Endurance:

Up to 30 hours

Cost:

$16.9 Million

Crew

(remote):

Two (pilot and sensor

operator

Tracking: FMV monitored by controlling station or uplinked with an asset.Capable in low visibility (cloud cover) and inclement weather Slide10

Intent

UAV’s will be able to spot drug traffickers and then report back to a command center, which will alert the Coast Guard, Navy or authorities from Caribbean or Central American nations to take action.Slide11

UAV

Search GraphOriginal ProblemCocaine & MarijuanaAll possible routesMax Flow

Project Focus

Cocaine

Maritime Routes

Max Flow with shortest

path propertiesSlide12

Network Model

Max Flow Network Model / Modified Min Cost Flow to force shortest path propertiesNodes Demand Nodes - Corpus Christi, Miami, New OrleansSupply Nodes – Equally Distributed

Supply

Nodes along Latin American

Coast (53 Total)

Edges – All neighboring water nodes are connectedSlide13

Network Edges

Each Node over waterIs connected by an edgeFlow moving from Supply nodes to

Demand nodesSlide14

Supply & Demand Nodes

Supply NodesEqually Distributed53 Supply Nodes625lbs eachDemand Nodes

Miami - 9,922

New Orleans 9,921

Corpus Christi 13,282

Transit Nodes

329Slide15

Equally Distributed Supply

Distance vs Profit Annual estimated flowSlide16

Assumptions

Cocaine travels from supply to demand nodes shortest feasible pathPresently 15% rate of seizure of all drugs in the demand regionsUAVs are available to be on station 24/7

UAVs

identify targets and tracks until forces arrive for apprehension (never leave station after they are assigned best grid location)

100 percent detection rate of drug running vessels transiting through

UAVs

’ station.

Can not interdict within 60 km off US coast

Each node is 1° degree of latitude and longitude Slide17

Analysis

33,126 lbs transportedfrom all supply nodes

Combined

Node distinctionSlide18

The “Interesting Questions”

How much drug flow can be interdicted?How many UAVs

do we need to stop as much drug flow as possible?

Marginal cost of adding

UAV

interdictions?

At what levels can the program be fiscally justified?Slide19

Interdictions

UAVs can be assign 1 to multiple nodes to surveyProbability of detection is initially 1 when assigned a single node and is reduced to 1 divided by number of nodes assigned UAVs never participate in apprehension

Apprehension away from

UAV

station

No Interdictions with 60 miles of US Coastline

UAV

yearly mission cost $18.4 Million per

UAVSlide20

1 UAV

InterdictionTotal/Change11,328 lbs seized

$133 Million

34.2% reduction

Seizure Cost

$1,641/

lbs

$0.54 Million/%Slide21

2

UAV InterdictionsAdditional 5,625 lbs

$66.5 Million

17.0% reduction

Total 16,953

lbs

seized

$200

Million

51.2%

reduction

Seizure Cost$2,171/lbs

$0.72 Million/%Slide22

3 UAV

InterdictionsAdditional 5,000 lbs

$59.1

Million

15.1%

reduction

Total

21,953

lbs

seized

$

259 Million66.3% reductionSeizure Cost$

2,514/lbs$0.83 Million/%Slide23

4 UAV

InterdictionsAdditional 2,500 lbs

$29.5

Million

7.5%

reduction

Total

24,453

lbs

seized

$289

Million73.8% reductionSeizure Cost$3,010/

lbs$1.0 Million/%Slide24

5 UAV

InterdictionsAdditional 1,250 lbs

$14.8

Million

3

.8%

reduction

Total

26,003

lbs

seized

$307 Million78.4% reductionSeizure Cost$

3,538/lbs$1.2 Million/%Slide25

Patterned Interdictions

Additional 2,656 lbs$31.4 Million

$6,927 /

lb

Additional 3,144

lbs

$37.2

Million

$5,852 /

lbSlide26

Number of Interdictions

$

/

lbSlide27

Number of InterdictionsSlide28

Further Research

Increase complexity by removing as many assumption as possibleSpecific UAV parametersJoint coordination timelines/requirements/

assests

Refueling and replacement plans for UAV for management of assets (time to station)

Improve intelligence on drug smuggling processSlide29

References

“Just the Facts” A Civilians Guide to U.S. Defense and Security Assistancehttp://justf.org/blog/2013/03/12/operation-martillo-southcoms-counternarcotics-operation-central-americas-coastsStatfor

Global Intelligence

http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/mexicos-cartels-and-economics-cocaine?older=

1353501041

162

nd

Fighter Wing

http

://

www.162fw.ang.af.mil/resources/factsheets/factsheet.asp?id=11932

World Drug ReportSlide30

Questions?