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A Secondary Analysis of the CrossSectional Data Available in the Welsh Health Survey for Children to Identify Risk Factors Associated with Childhood Obesity in Wales Presented by Claire Beynon ID: 722101

claire beynon obesity risk beynon claire risk obesity childhood factors reference children data 001 results age daily records health

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Insert name of presentation on Master Slide

A Secondary Analysis of the Cross-Sectional Data Available in the ‘Welsh Health Survey for Children’ to Identify Risk Factors Associated with Childhood Obesity in Wales.

Presented by :Claire Beynon

Supervisor :Professor David Fone, Cardiff UniversitySlide2

Claire Beynon

Why is childhood obesity a problem?

Prevalence of childhood obesity in Wales 12%.Impacts on both quality and quantity of life.Immediate effects: low self esteem; bullying; depression; type II diabetes. Long term effects: Premature mortality; adult morbidity.

Obesity costs £73 million per annum in Wales.Slide3

Claire Beynon

Why is childhood obesity a problem?

Lobstein and Jackson Leach in Foresight Report, UK Government Office for Science,

2007.Slide4

Claire Beynon

The Data Choice in the UK

Childhood Measurement ProgrammeMillennium Cohort StudyWelsh Health SurveyEnglish Health SurveyCollecting new dataSlide5

Claire Beynon

Welsh Health Survey

Adult SurveyChildren's SurveyGeographyQuestion development

Sampling frame

Sampling technique

Response rateSlide6

Claire Beynon

Research Question

What are the important risk factors for childhood obesity for children aged 4 to 15 years in Wales?

Research Objectives

Identify and quantify cross-sectional associations between obesity in children in Wales aged 4-15 years and the risk factors available in the

Welsh Health Survey.

Make recommendations for policy where appropriate.Slide7

Claire Beynon

1032 records excluded on basis of non-English; not relevant; not in age range; incorrect outcome; data not collected in WHS

1086 titles and abstracts screened using inclusion criteria

41 full-text articles excluded on basis of non-English; not relevant; not in age range; incorrect outcome; data not collected in WHS

13 articles included in review of the literature

54 full-text articles assessed for eligibility using inclusion criteria

Total of 1086 records identified using ‘Childhood Obesity’ and ‘Risk Factors’ from four electronic databases

754 records identified through EMBASE electronic database

281 records identified through MEDLINE electronic database

41 records identified through PSYCHINFO electronic database

10 records identified through Cochrane Library

Literature reviewSlide8

Claire Beynon

Study Design

Secondary Analysis of Data from the WHS.Dataset included n=11,279 children (aged 4-15 years) between 2008 and 2011. Descriptive statistics, and logistic regression.Slide9

Claire Beynon

Risk Factors

Socio-demographic/socioeconomic variables: Sex, age, National Statistics Social Classification (NSSEC), housing tenure and Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation (WIMD).

Lifestyle variables:

Unhealthy food consumption; sugar sweetened beverages; physical activity (PA) levels

Illness:

Currently treated illnesses. Slide10

Claire Beynon

Results

Body Mass Index classifications for children by year of WHS Slide11

Claire Beynon

Results

Body Mass Index classifications for children’s age groupSlide12

Claire Beynon

Odds Ratios

How to calculate:OR = Odds of exposure in cases

Odds of exposure in control

How to interpret:

OR>1

increased risk

OR=1 no difference

OR<1 decreased risk

Confidence

intervals, if

they

cross

1 not significantSlide13

Claire Beynon

Results

Risk Factor

Odds Ratio

95% CI

P value

Sex

Male

Reference

Female

0.79

0.70 to 0.89

p<0.001*

Age

4-6

Reference

7-9

1.42

1.19 to 1.70

p<0.001*

10-12

1.65

1.39 to

1.97

p<0.001*

13-15

1.44

1.20 to 1.73

p<0.001*

Significant association between childhood obesity and the following

factors denoted with * Slide14

Claire Beynon

Results

Risk Factor

OR

95% CI

P value

NSSEC 3

Professional/

Managerial

Reference

Intermediate

1.17

0.98 to 1.38

0.08

Routine/

Manual

1.32

1.14 to 1.54

p<0.001*

WIMD

Lowest

Reference

Low

1.08

1.19 to 1.70

p=0.44

Mid

1.23

1.01 to 1.50

p=0.04*

High

1.33

1.09 to

1.62

p=0.005*

Highest1.230.99 to 1.53p=0.06Slide15

Claire Beynon

Results

Risk Factor

OR

95% CI

P value

Illness

No illness

Reference

One illness

1.20

1.05 to 1.38

p=0.008*

Two or more illnesses

1.50

1.22 to 1.85

p<0.001*

Physical

Activity

Meets recommendation

Reference

Does not meet recommendation

1.33

1.17 to 1.52

p<0.001*Slide16

Claire Beynon

Results

Risk Factor

OR

95% CI

P value

Fruit & Vegetables

Not daily

Reference

Both daily

0.96

0. 85 to 1.09

p=0.82

Sugar sweetened

beverages

Not daily

Reference

Daily

1.02

0.83 to 1.27

p=0.82

Crisps,

chips or sweets

Not daily

Reference

Daily

0.89

0.79 to 1.01

p=0.08

No significant association between childhood obesity and the following factors:Slide17

Claire Beynon

Differences from CMP dataSlide18

Claire Beynon

Strengths of the study

WHS uses stratified random sampling.Results for 3000 children achieved per annum.Good response rate at 75%.Known confounding accounted for by use of multivariable analysis.

Provides new insights into existing data.

Information from Wales on which to base Welsh policy.Slide19

Claire Beynon

Limitations of the study

Risk of bias, e.g. recall bias; reporting of food consumption and physical activity reporting. Non response bias.Reverse causality possible due to study design.Selection bias, private homes surveyed (not institutions).Unknown confounding possible (not all risk factors measured).

Interactions not explored.Slide20

Claire Beynon

Conclusions

Some risk factors associated with childhood obesity are not modifiable (e.g. sex and age of the child). Some risk factors are not easily modifiable in the short term, e.g. the circumstances of the family (NS-SEC classification of the parent and housing tenure).

Two findings are potentially more easily modifiable:

the association between childhood obesity and not meeting the PA recommendations

the NHS response to the care planning of children with a long term condition. Slide21

Claire Beynon

Recommendations

Increase physical activity in schools to an hour a day, so all children have levels of PA that protect them from obesity without increasing inequalities in health.Utilise the CMP feedback to provide advice on relevant physical activity options that are affordable and accessible e.g. green spaces; walks; free swimming.

Ensure all children with a long term condition get help to avoid or manage obesity through an holistic care package.