PPT-Operational Earthquake Loss Forecasting

in Italy Preliminary Results I Iervolino 1 E Chioccarelli 1 M Giorgio 2 W Marzocchi 3 A Lombardi 3 G Zuccaro 1 F Cacace 1 1 Università degli studi di Napoli Federico II Naples Italy. TRAFFIC FORECASTING. The essence of port traffic forecasting is to attempt to forecast (predict): . (a) What kinds and tonnages of commodities will move through the port?. (b) How will these commodities be packaged and transported as maritime cargo?. A forecast is a prediction or estimation of future situation. It is an objective assessment of future course of action. Since future is uncertain, no forecast can be per cent correct. Forecasts can be both physical as well as financial in nature. The more realistic the forecasts, the more effective decisions can be taken for tomorrow.. Agenda. Agree how we work within the Earthquake and Tsunami group. . how to . trigger. the System. (for EQS and TSU). GMPEs (or in term of MMI) vs population density for EQs. Expected tsunami height for . (Lesson 22). ENQUIRY QUESTION 3:. How successful is the . management. of tectonic hazards and disasters?. H/W :TASK 4. Read the information . (Hodder page 90 in this booklet) . about two recent tectonic mega disasters : . EViews Training Basic Forecasting Note: Data and workfiles for this tutorial are provided in: Data: D ata.xls Results: R esults.wf1 Practice Workfile : Data.wf1 Data and Workfile Documentation 1. Why Firms Forecast XRs. Hedging decisions. Hedging payables and receivables. Short-term financing decisions. Which currency to borrow in. Low rate, weakening currency. 2. Why Firms Forecast XRs. Short-term investment decisions. at the USGS. Andrew J. Michael. What Is Operational Earthquake Forecasting?. a.k.a. OEF. Currently OEF = Earthquake Clustering. a.k.a. Foreshocks and Aftershocks. Earthquakes trigger other earthquakes..  . Cesaroni C.. 1. , . Spogli L.. 1,2. , . Aragon. -Angel A.. 3. , Fiocca M.. 4. , . Dear. V.. 5. , De Franceschi G.. 1. , Romano V.. 1,2. 1. Istituto . Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, . Italy. Mark Silins. TCOP Advisor. Content. Objective of Cash Management and Forecasting. Objective of Cash and Appropriation Control. Characteristics of the Two Activities. Convergence of the Two Activities. Transportation. Final Report. NCHRP 10-101: Research Team . Jorge A. Rueda . Principal Investigator Auburn University - HRC. 2. Cliff Schexnayder . Co-Principal Investigator Arizona State University. USDA Foods. The importance of forecasting to the supply chain and cost effective procurement. Existing tools for forecasting. Promoting good supply chain management, procurement and forecasting. In this Training. Demand Forecasting. ACWA Fall Conference 2016 . November 30, 2016. Finance Program - Forecasting Water Demand. Ken Weinberg. Ken Weinberg Water Resources Consulting LLC. Demand Forecasting is the Foundation. Phone: 01483689185. a.floh@surrey.ac.uk. Skype. : . arnefloh. Marketing Analytics – . Forecasting. What is forecasting and why we need it in Marketing Analytics?. Sales/demand forecasts. are used for…. - . Better forecasting for rising or falling demand. - Coping with seasonal demand. - Alternative techniques. Figure 13.1 Forecasting Trend. Figure 13.2 Double exponential model. Y=. bx. + d. b. a. Time Periods x.