ACHMAD NURMANDI DEP OF GOVERNMENT AFFAIRS AND ADMINISTRATION UNIVERSITAS MUHAMMADIYAH YOGYAKARTA OUTLINE INTRODUCTION CONCEPT DEFINITION URBANISATION OF INDONESIA IN FACT IMPACT OF GOV POLICY ON URBANISATION ID: 565799
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URBANISING INDONESIA: TRENDS AND CHALLENGES
ACHMAD NURMANDI
DEP OF GOVERNMENT AFFAIRS AND ADMINISTRATION
UNIVERSITAS MUHAMMADIYAH YOGYAKARTASlide2
OUTLINE
INTRODUCTION
CONCEPT DEFINITION
URBANISATION OF INDONESIA IN FACT
IMPACT OF GOV POLICY ON URBANISATION
PATTERN OF URBANISATION
NEW FINDINGS Slide3
Urbanisation
Definition:
urbanization can represent the level of urban relative to overall population, or it can represent the rate at which the urban proportion is increasing
(wikipedia, org)
Component of urbanisation
a. Migration
B. Natural
C.Reclassificaton Slide4
Urbanising
a.
to make
(a
predominantly rural area or country) more industrialized and urban
b.
to cause the migration of an increasing proportion of (rural dwellers) into cities
urbanization
,
urbanisation
n
(www.freedictionary.com)Slide5
URBAN POPULATION (UP) AND JAKARTA POPULATION (JP) (BPS)Slide6Slide7Slide8
Table 3.8 Percentage of Urban Population By Province, 2000-2025
Province
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Table 3.8 Percentage of Urban Population By Province, 2000-2025
Province
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
NANGGROE ACEH DARUSSALAM
23,6
28,8
34,3
39,7
44,9
49,9
NORTH SUMATERA
42,4
46,1
50,1
54,4
58,8
63,5
WEST SUMATERA
29
34,3
39,8
45,3
50,6
55,6
RIAU
43,7
50,4
56,6
62,1
66,9
71,1
JAMBI
28,3
32,4
36,5
40,6
44,5
48,4
SOUTH SUMATERA
34,4
38,7
42,9
47
50,9
54,6
BENGKULU
29,4
35,2
41
46,5
51,7
56,5
LAMPUNG
21
27
33,3
39,8
46,2
52,2
BANGKA BELITUNG ISLANDS
43
47,8
52,2
56,5
60,3
63,9
SPECIAL CAPITAL CITY JAKARTA
100
100
100
100
100
100
WEST JAVA
50,3
58,8
66,2
72,4
77,4
81,4
CENTRAL JAVA
40,4
48,6
56,2
63,1
68,9
73,8
SPECIAL PROVINCE YOGYAKARTA
57,6
64,3
70,2
75,2
79,3
82,8
EAST JAVA
40,9
48,9
56,5
63,1
68,9
73,7
BANTEN
52,2
60,2
67,2
73
77,7
81,5
B A L I
49,7
57,7
64,7
70,7
75,6
79,6
SOUTHEAST WEST NUSA
34,8
41,9
48,8
55,2
61
66
SOUTHEAST EAST NUSA
15,4
18
20,7
23,5
26,4
29,3
WEST KALIMANTAN
24,9
27,8
31,1
34,8
39
43,7
CENTRAL KALIMANTAN
27,5
34
40,7
47,2
53,3
58,8
SOUTH KALIMANTAN
36,2
41,5
46,7
51,6
56,3
60,6
EAST KALIMANTAN
57,7
62,2
66,2
69,9
73,1
75,9
NORTH SULAWESI
36,6
43,4
49,8
55,7
61,1
65,7
CENTRAL SULAWESI
19,3
21
22,9
24,9
27,3
29,9
SOUTH SULAWESI
29,4
32,2
35,3
38,8
42,6
46,7
SOUTHEAST SULAWESI
20,8
23
25,6
28,5
31,8
35,5
GORONTALO
25,4
31,3
37
42,8
48,2
53,2
M A L U K U
25,3
26,1
26,9
27,9
28,8
29,9
NORTH MALUKU
28,9
29,7
30,6
31,5
32,5
33,6
PAPUA
22,2
22,8
23,5
24,3
25,1
26Slide9
GOVERNMENT POLICY?
a.
to make ( a predominantly rural area or country) more industrialized and urban
b.
to cause the migration of an increasing proportion
Economic Policy
Infrastructure Development PolicySlide10Slide11
Growth of GRDPSlide12
Long-run Equilibrium
(Blane Dlewis, 2010)
Working population
(1%)
Urban population
(1%)
Urban Primacy
(1%)
Economic Growth
2,8%
0.2%
3%Slide13
Economic GrowthDinamics
(Blane Dlewis, 2010)
Working population
(1%)
Urban population
(1%)
Urban Primacy
(1%)
Economic Growth
0.2%
0.7%
0.6%Slide14
PROPORTION OF PDRB
(SOURCE:SAKERNAS 2010)Slide15
MIGRATION TO JAKARTA
(litbang
Kompas:source Dinas Kependudukan dan Catatan Sipil DKI Jakarta)Slide16
Change of Economic Activity in Jabodetabek
(Puteri Rosalina, 2011)
1993
2009
primary
secondary
tertiary
primary
secondary
Tertiary
Jakarta
0.28
35.8
64
0.32
26.7
73
Bogor Reg
20.9
49.4
29.8
6.1
68.6
25.3
Bogor City
0.37
36.8
62.9
0.3
38.4
61.4Depok City4.02
48.5
47.5
2.8
49.9
47.2
Tangerang Reg
14
59.3
26.7
10.4
71.7
17.9
Tangerang city
1.18
47.5
51.3
0.16
51.9
47.9
South Tangerang Reg
1.2
30.9
67.9
0.99
28.5
70.5
Bekasi Reg
9.6
60.9
29.4
3.2
81.7
15.1
Bekasi City
1.2
55.7
43.2
0.9
50.9
48.2Slide17
INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENTSlide18
INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT POLICY
Respondents evaluated the overall level of competence and quality of logistics services (e.g. transport operators, customs brokers), on a rating ranging from 1 (very low) to 5 (very high). Scores are averaged across all
respondents.This
page includes a historical data chart, news and
forecats
for Logistics performance index: Competence and quality of logistics services (1=low to 5=high) in Indonesia
.Slide19
Indonesia Position
2010, logictic performance index of Indonesia at 75 rank amongts 155 countries, decrease from rank 43 in 2009. Singapura’rank is 2, China (13), Malaysia (29), Thailand (35), Filipina (44), dan Vietnam (53).Slide20Slide21Slide22
MORE THAN 80% OF MANUFACTURE INDUSTRY LOCATED IN JAVA AND 13% IN AND 7% IN OTHER ISLAND
OUTER JAVA EXPORT PRIMARY PRODUCT TO JAVA ISLAND AND IMPORT SECONDARY PRODUCT FROM JAVA ISLAND
PRODUCTION PROCESS IN OUTER JAVA DEPEND ON INPUT FROM JAVA ISLAND
SPILLOVER EEFECT OF OUTER JAVA ECONOMY ON JAVA ECONOMY IS HIGHER THAN OUTER JAVA ECONOMY EFFECT ON JAVA ISLAND
(Winda, UNAS,2011)Slide23
EXPLANATORY MODEL URBANISATION IN INDONESIA