PPT-Uncertainty in Engineering - Introduction

Jake Blanchard Fall 2010 Uncertainty Analysis for Engineers 1 Instructor Jake Blanchard Engineering Physics 143 Engineering Research Building blanchardengrwiscedu Uncertainty Analysis for Engineers. Nick Bloom (Stanford & NBER). Harvard, April 23. rd. and 30. th. Talk summarizes . a forthcoming JEP article (& a work-in-progress longer JEL). Talk summarizes . a forthcoming JEP article (& a work-in-progress longer JEL). IB DP Physics. Error Bars. U. sed . on graphs to display the uncertainty in measurements of the data . points.. T. here . may be uncertainty in just the y-values, just the x-values, or . both. .. Must be included in all DP Physics data analysis including your Internal Assessment. Lecture One. Paul . Constantine. March 29, 2011. What is UQ???. Uncertainty Quantification – ME470. Paul Constantine. Combining computational models, physical observations, and possibly expert . judgment . for S2D forecasting. EUPORIAS wp31. Nov 2012, Ronald Hutjes. Background. S2D impact prediction. Uncertainty explosion / Skill implosion ??. SST. Weather. (Downscaling). Soil moisture. Plant productivity. Duncan Green (@fp2p). Oxfam. March 2014. In development, some systems are more or less linear . But many are not. So is Traditional Planning a good use of our time?. For. Allocating $. Building common goals and approaches. . Avoidance. in 10 minutes. Geert Hofstede. January. 2015. Origin. of the term “. uncertainty. . avoidance. ”. One. of the . key. . concepts. in a “. behavioral. . theory. of the . firm. Saleem Bahaj & . Angus Foulis. 21st November 2016. The views expressed in this presentation are those of the presenter and not necessarily those of the . Bank of England or members of the MPC, FPC or PRA Board.. Marcia McNutt. Editor-in-Chief. Science . family of Journals. Challenges with scientific uncertainty ...... Public perception that if scientists express uncertainty, they “don’t know they are talking about.”. environmental research. Liew Xuan Qi (A0157765N). Cheong Hui Ping (A0127945W). Hong Chuan Yin (A0155305M). Best Practice Approaches for Characterizing, Communicating, and Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty in Climate Decision Making. OUTLINE. Accelerator Pre-alignment background. Uncertainty and GUM supplement 1. PACMAN pre-alignment budgeting . CMM uncertainty modeling. Thermal uncertainty compensation and modeling. First stochastic modeling results. Manipulating symbols. Last class. Typology of signs. Sign systems. Symbols. Tremendously important distinctions for informatics and computational sciences. Computation = symbol manipulation. Symbols can be manipulated without reference to content (syntactically. Africa Regional Workshop on the Building of Sustainable National. Greenhouse Gas Inventory Management Systems, and the use of the 2006. IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories. Swakopmund. Brian Clough. 1. , Matt Russell. 1. , Grant Domke. 2. , Chris Woodall. 2. . 2016 Western Mensurationist’s Meeting. 1. University of Minnesota. 2. US Forest Service Northern Research Station. 3 tiered approach for identifying and . Erzo F. P. Luttmer. Andrew A. Samwick. Dartmouth College and NBER. March 2017. Motivating Question. Future government policy is subject to uncertainty. How costly is this uncertainty?. When does policy uncertainty matter most?.