sociologist fixing futures in global education trade rules Susan L Robertson Centre for Globalisation education and social futures University of Bristol UK 1 st International conference on anticipation Trento 57 ID: 811160
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Slide1
Seeing like a … (capitalist, state,…..sociologist): fixing futures in global education trade rules
Susan L. Robertson
Centre for Globalisation, education and social futures, University of Bristol, UK
1
st
International conference on anticipation, Trento, 5-7
th
Nov, 2015
Slide2OutlineStudies of making (global) education markets theoretically/sociologically under-developed‘Imagining’ and ‘fixing’ the future fundamental to making capitalist marketsTrade negotiations/rules on education services and market making - a unique window to explore
their ‘temporal’ dynamics
Case: current trade negotiations and agreements TTIP, TISA, TPP – from mental representations to the creation of social
devices and structurally inscribed strategies
Conceptual grammar and final reflections
….
Slide3Slide4Market-making and the futureSeeing like a capitalist…“…for capitalism to function today, tomorrow must be capitalist. The future is the premise of the present” (Mann, 2008: 4)
Slide5Market-making and the futureSeeing like a state…“…the legibility of a society provides the capacity for large scale social engineering, high modernist ideology provides the desire, the authoritarian state provides the determination to act on that desire and an incapacitated civil society provides the levels societal terrain on which to build” (Scott, 1998:
5
)
Slide6Market-making and the futureSeeing like a sociologist…
“We
cannot
know
the future, and therefore agents must reach decisions
when they do not know what is best to do
.
…The
task of the sociologist is thus to develop theoretical concepts and engage in empirical investigations as to how this future is made more
certain” (
Beckert
1996: 804).
Slide7‘Imagining’ a global ‘services’ sector
Bell and the rise of services economies (forecasting) – 1960s
OECD and the creation of knowledge economies (Godin, 2006)
WTO/GATS and rules for services sectors (Robertson et al., 2002)
Slide8THE CASE – TTIP AND TISA
Slide9Fixing the future through trade agreements – making new social devices/relations
creating
new institutions
such as the WTO/GATS, TISA, TTIP, TPP
Power relations
– EU Directive on Services (2006)
International Investor Agreements and
dispute mechanisms
Legitmating
devices
– impact assessments via CGE modelling outcomes
Establishing
new conventions
- future lost earnings to investors in case of a dispute -
Regulatory devices -
negative list – meaning what is exempted has to be known and listed and the rest is available for trade rules
Power blocs
...USA, Europe aiming to create China as a rule taker and not maker
Slide10Imagining education as a services sector
Slide11Micro-foundations of economic action
Slide12‘Fixing futures’ through rules on education as a tradeable service Already significant investments by some countries and firms – but future needs to be secured for investors against ‘nationalising’ states and civil societiesuneven development enables the capitalist to act strategically in relation to the future
Mobilisation of ‘social devices’ that reorient our worlds and actions
Slide13Contesting meanings – re-futuring worlds…
Slide14Alternative narratives – trojan futures
Slide15Beckert
Social
structurings
Social devices
Mental representations of future states
Slide16Final reflections – seeing like a sociologistAlready significant investments by some countries and firms – where future needs to be secured for investors against ‘nationalising’ states and civil societies (social norms/social struggles)uneven development enables the capitalist to act strategically in relation to the future (social strategies)
Mobilisation of ‘social devices’ that reorient our worlds and actions (structuring devices to secure some versions of the future over overs)
Social worlds are also sites of struggle, and education particularly so; public versus private good