Edmund Pendleton Lead Instructor NSF ICorps amp SBIR Bootcamp Director DC ICorps Node The Prequel My startup set out to change an entire industry 10 years 20M later The Sequel ID: 782178
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Slide1
Testing SolutionsValidating Product-Market Fit
Edmund Pendleton
Lead Instructor,
NSF I-Corps & SBIR Bootcamp
Director,
DC I-Corps Node
Slide2The Prequel
Slide3My startup set out to change an
entire industry
Slide410 years
$20M later
Slide5Slide6The Sequel
Slide7…
a
different
beach…
Slide8Innovation and Startup Coach
Slide92,000+ Teams
10,000+ Hours
Science andTechnology Focus
Slide12Long time to market and high risk
Slide13Slide14“Transforming the world’s largest seed fund into
…the world’s largest Accelerator.”
Slide15Not just resources ($) but direction
Slide16Slide17Slide18Our goal is toimprove your odds.
Slide19Shift the Curve
Shift the Curve
Slide20That is WHYwe are here.
Slide21Slide22ConceptReview
Slide23Innovation about Customer Needs
Slide24Two Extremesof Innovation
Slide25Slide26ConceptualInnovation
Slide27Build, Show, & Hope
Product Strategy
Formulate Product Strategy
Formulate Market Strategy
What can we do “better”
Who else is doing what we are doing?
What are we good at doing?
Technical Brainstorm
Input from sales and marketing
“Guess” at potential market share
Pay for market forecasts
Google Market Trends
Slide28ExperimentalInnovation
Slide29“I haven’t failed.
Slide30– Thomas Edison
“I haven’t failed.
I’ve just found 10,000 ways that won’t work.”
Slide31You can learn
Experimental Innovation
Slide32ExperimentalInnovation
Lean
Slide33Use a systematic approach
…
Slide34…to identify
unmet
needs.
Slide35Scientific Method
Observe
phenomena
Formulate hypothesisTest hypothesis
via rigorous experiments
Establish theory
based on repeated validation of results
Modify
hypothesis
Slide36Hypothesis Testing, Iteration, and Pivoting
Slide37Essence of Lean Approach
Slide38“Can you identify and validate a problem or need in the market that enough people care about?”
Slide39Problem-Solution Fit
Product-Market Fit
Business-Model Fit
Slide40“Can you build and deliver a product/service that satisfies the customer problem or need?”
Slide41Problem-Solution Fit
Product-Market Fit
Business-Model Fit
Slide42Is this a business worth doing…
Slide43Problem-Solution Fit
Product-Market Fit
Business-Model Fit
Slide44Needs FirstSolutions Second!
Slide45Initial Focus
Slide46Test the Need First
Slide47Get out of the building!
Slide48Talk (listen) to customers
…
Slide49Customer Discovery
Slide50What are youtrying to discover?
Slide51Design Value Proposition
Segment
based on
Needs
Quantify Metrics for Success
Understand
“Jobs-to-be-Done”
Identify the Customer
Customer Discovery
Process Steps
Slide52#1. Are you goingafter top-of-mind need?
Slide53#2. Who is theperson(s) you intend to help?
Slide54#3. What does that person
seek to do better?
Slide55#4. How does that person
define better?
Slide56Opportunities for innovation arise from better understanding the customer job.
Slide57Identify Customer Segment and Value Proposition(s)
prior to building rest of Business Model
Slide58Hypotheses
Hypotheses
Slide59How do we turn theseinto facts
…
Slide60Design Value Proposition
Segment
based on
Needs
Quantify Metrics for Success
Understand
“Jobs-to-be-Done”
Identify the Customer
Slide61Slide62Customer Discovery Methods
Slide63Primary Research
(Continue)
Customer Interviews
(Continue)
Customer Observation
(Continue)
Problem MVP
(Continue)
Solution MVP
(Now)
Customer Surveys
(Later)
Focus Groups
(Later)
Slide64Primary Research
(Continue)
Customer Interviews
(Continue)
Customer Observation
(Continue)
Problem MVP
(Continue)
Solution MVP
(Now)
Customer Surveys
(Later)
Focus Groups
(Later)
Slide65Slide66Test the Solution Second
Slide67What in the world is an MVP?
Slide68A minimum viable product (MVP)
is a development technique in which a new product or website is developed with sufficient features to satisfy early adopters. The final, complete set of features is only designed and developed after considering feedback from the product's initial users
Slide69A minimum viable product (
MVP
) is a development technique in which a
new product or website is developed with sufficient features to satisfy early adopters. The final, complete set of features is only designed and developed after considering feedback from the product's initial users
Slide70A minimum viable product (MVP)
is an artifact or representation of a value proposition. It is designed to test the validity of one or more critical assumptions or so called hypotheses surrounding a business model or value proposition.
Alex Osterwalder
Slide71A minimum viable product
(MVP)
is an artifact or representation of a value proposition. It is designed to test the validity of one or more critical assumptions or so called hypotheses surrounding a business model or value proposition.
Alex Osterwalder
Slide72A minimum viable product (MVP)
is a concise summary of the smallest possible group of features that will work as a stand-alone product while still solving at least the “core” problem and demonstrating the product’s value.
Steve
Blank
Slide73A minimum viable product (MVP)
is the simplest thing that you can show to customers to get the most learning at that point in time. Early on in a startup, an MVP could simply be a PowerPoint slide, wireframe, clay model, sample data set, etc. Each time you build an MVP you also define what you are trying to test or measure. Later, as more is learned, the MVP’s go from low-fidelity to higher fidelity, but the goal continues to be to maximize learning not to build a beta/fully featured prototype of the product.
Steve
Blank
Slide74A minimum viable product (MVP)
is that version of a new product which allows a team to collect the maximum amount of validated learning about customers with the least effort.
Eric
Ries
Slide75A minimum viable product
(MVP)
is that version of a new product which allows a team to collect the maximum amount of validated learning about customers with the least effort.
Eric
Ries
Slide76A minimum viable product (MVP)
is the smallest thing you can build that delivers customer value (and as a bonus captures some of that value back).
Ash
Maurya
Slide77A minimum viable product
(MVP)
is the smallest thing you can build that delivers customer value (and as a bonus captures some of that value back).
Ash
Maurya
Slide78A minimum viable product (MVP)
We define MVP as that unique product that maximizes return on risk for both the vendor and the customer… is a mindset of the management and development-team. It says, think big for the long term but small for the short term. Think big enough that the first product is a sound launching pad for it and its next generation and the roadmap that follows, but not so small that you leave room for a competitor to get the jump on you. Too large or too small a product are big problems. The MVP is the difficult-to-determine sweet spot between them. Teams flounder tactically in trying to determine the MVP.
Frank
Robinson
Slide79A minimum viable product (MVP)
We define MVP as that unique product that maximizes return on risk for both the vendor and the customer…
Clayton
Christensen
Slide80A minimum viable product (MVP)
We define MVP as that
unique product
that maximizes return on risk for both the vendor and the customer…
Clayton
Christensen
Slide81A minimum viable product (MVP)
is the most pared down version of a product that can still be released and has three key characteristics:
enough value that people are willing to use it or buy it initially
enough future benefit to retain early adoptersa feedback loop to guide future development.
Slide82A minimum viable product (MVP)
is that version of a new product a team uses to collect the maximum amount of validated learning about customers with the least effort." The definition's use of the words maximum and minimum means it is decidedly not formulaic.
Slide83“The power of the MVP approach is matched only by the amount of confusion it causes…”
Slide84WTH MVP OMG
Slide85Slide86Slide87Slide88Problem / NeedMVPs
Slide89Good Starting Point
Slide90What is current process (solution)?
Slide91Where are current challenges?
Slide92Slide93WORK FLOW (UPW example)
Primary Loop
Secondary Loop
Pre-treatment
Slide94Slide95Observe Current Process
Slide96Slide97Understand Competition
Slide98Both competitors already have apps out. Is Bay Alarm competitive in today's market…
or do users even care about apps?
Slide99Existing Process vs Desired Job
Slide100Understand the difference between what customers want to do (the job)...
versus what they are
currently
doing (existing solution)
Slide101Pre Execute
Post Execute
What is the customer
trying
to accomplish?
Job Map
Slide102Job Steps
Step
1
Step 2
Step 3
…
Step
1
Step 2
Step 3
…
Step
1
Step 2
Step 3
…
Step
1
Step 2
Step 3
…
Step
1
Step 2
Step 3
…
Step
1
Step 2
Step 3
…
Step
1
Step 2
Step 3
…
Step
1
Step 2
Step 3
…
What is the customer
trying
to accomplish?
Slide103Success Metrics
How does the customer
measure
success?
*Outcome 1
*Outcome 2
*Outcome 3
…
*Outcome 1
*Outcome 2
*Outcome 3
…
*Outcome 1
*Outcome 2
*Outcome 3
…
*Outcome 1
*Outcome 2
*Outcome 3
…
*Outcome 1
*Outcome 2
*Outcome 3
…
*Outcome 1
*Outcome 2
*Outcome 3
…
*Outcome 1
*Outcome 2
*Outcome 3
…
*Outcome 1
*Outcome 2
*Outcome 3
…
Slide104What If…
Conversations
Slide105How would process change?
Slide106Slide107Slide108After validating a true unmet need…
Slide109You will start testing the product*
Slide110Can you build and deliver a product/service that satisfies the customer problem or need…in a form the customer wants to consume it?
Slide111Can you build and deliver a product/service that satisfies the customer problem or need…
in a form the customer
wants to consume it?
Slide112Get out of the building!
Slide113We will use MVP as shorthand for any prototype!
Slide114Using Prototypes
Slide115Using MVPsto test Solutions
Slide116Build, Show, and Hope!
Slide117Build, Show, and Hope!
Slide118Don’t just build and show…be deliberate!
Slide119Use a systematic approach
…
Slide120…to validate that you solution addresses
unmet needs.
Slide121Scientific Method
Observe
phenomena
Formulate hypothesisTest hypothesis
via rigorous experiments
Establish theory
based on repeated validation of results
Modify
hypothesis
Slide122The ultimate ”test”…
will people buy it.
Slide123But a “sellable” product…
is often the most expensive test.
Slide124MVPs
MVPs
Slide125MVPs
MVPs
Slide126MVPs Not For Sale
Slide127Low Fidelity
MVP
Slide128Used to test early concepts before building a “working solution”…
Slide129The purpose – to test whether you are headed in the right direction?
Slide130Slide131Slide132Slide133Slide134“Higher” Fidelity
MVP
Slide135The purpose – to test whether basic functionality addresses a problem or need?
Slide136Slide137Slide138Slide139Pilot Site MVP
Slide140For some complex system solutions, pilot sites are required to prove value to customers.
Slide141Purpose of MVPs…move abstract to specific!
Slide142Slide143Example MVPs
Slide144Slide145Slide146Slide147Slide148Slide149Slide150Slide151Slide152Slide153Slide154Slide155Slide156Slide157Why is thisso challenging?
Slide158“The first principle is that you must not fool yourself, and you are the easiest person to fool.”
– Richard Feynman
Slide159“The first principle is that you must not fool yourself, and you are the
easiest person to fool.”
– Richard Feynman
Slide160People areNot Rational
Slide161Slide162Even scientistsstruggle designing experiments
Slide163Slide164“I have approximate answers and possible beliefs and different degrees of certainty about different things
, but I’m not absolutely sure about anything.”
–
Richard Feynman
Slide165“I have approximate answers and possible beliefs and different degrees of certainty about different things,
but I’m not absolutely sure about anything.”
–
Richard Feynman
Slide166“People don’t know what they want
until I show it to them!”
Slide167“People don’t know
what
they want
until I show it to them!”
Slide168You are trying to discover the ”why”
Slide169Slide170Question Answer
Slide171Slide172Intellectual Propertyand the MVP
Slide173Intellectual Property:any product of the human intellect that the law protects from unauthorized use by others
Slide174Slide175Why should you protect IP?
Slide17680%+ of a company’s value
can reside in IP
Slide177Increase Value by…
excluding competition
leveraging license deals
avoiding trade secrets loss
Slide1781. The idea becomes part of the public domain
through a public disclosure.
2. The invention is appropriated through a
prior filing by another.
MVP Testing
Risks
Slide179The invention is described without the benefit of confidentiality
Results in the loss of exclusivity through the inability to enforce an exclusive statutory right (patent)
Public Disclosure
1. The idea becomes part of the public domain
through a public disclosure.
Slide180The invention is patented by another’s prior filing
Results in the inability to practice ones own invention
March 16, 2013 – USA switched from
“first-to-invent” to “first-inventor-to-file”
First to File
2. The invention is appropriated through a
prior filing by another.
Slide181Non Disclosure Agreements (CDA) and Patent Filings
Mitigate IP Risks Differently
Non Disclosure agreements (CDA)
Mitigate the risk of a disclosure invalidating a later filed patent
Mitigate the risk that the receiving party will claim a patent based on the information
BUT: scope of the agreement governs what’s protected, and resulting claim is in Contract. Claims of Inventor-ship /derivation require substantial documentation.
Patent Filing (Including Provisional Patent Filings)
Eliminate the risk of appropriation based on the disclosure to another
Mitigate the risk of the disclosure to another invalidating the patent
But: Ability to exclude is limited to the description provided in the patent (a significant pivot or hasty drafting increases risk of BOTH public disclosure and appropriation)
Slide182Customer Discovery: Test the Problem
Can we test the problem without disclosing potential solutions?
Common mistakes
Disclosure without protectionDisclosing potential solutions as a part of testing the problem (IP loss)Filing provisional patents that don’t cover the real problem or the later discovered solutionProvide technology insight that enables others to file patents
Slide183Intellectual Property Plan Executed
Common mistakes
Assume provisional is a good replacement for CDA
Not enabled/or support (EU/China)Not entitled to datePivot takes you outside patent scopeLosing patent rights due to filing delays/invention disclosuresDisclosure in a printed publicationOffer for sale in the US if pivot on feedback makes new product not entitled to provisional date
Slide184