FFGS Paul Pilon Climate and Water Department Hydrological Forecasting and Water Resources Division Objectives The main objectives of the Flash Flood Guidance System with global coverage are to ID: 1048025
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1. Flash Flood Guidance System (FFGS) Paul PilonClimate and Water DepartmentHydrological Forecasting and Water Resources Division
2. ObjectivesThe main objectives of the Flash Flood Guidance System with global coverage are to:Enhance NMHSs capacity to issue flash flood warnings and alerts to mitigate the adverse impacts of hydrometeorological hazards, by:Generating flash flood early warning products using state-of-the-art hydrometerological forecasting models;Providing extensive training to the hydrometeorological forecasters;Enhancing collaboration between NMHSs and Disaster/Emergency Management Agencies;
3. What is a Flash Flood? Lack of flash flood warning capabilities and capacities of NHMSs,Lack of local expertise and regional cooperation,Ineffectiveness of riverine flood warning systems for flash floods,Flash floods causes annually thousands of deaths and inflict heavy economical losses worldwide.A flood of short duration with a relatively high peak discharge usually having less than 6 hours between the occurrence of the rainfall and the peakShort fuse, hard to predict events
4. The Flash Flood Guidance System with global coverage consists of eight regional FFGS Systems in different stages of development and operational use. Four systems are operational, initial versions were implemented for four, and one is under developmentGlobal Flash Flood Guidance System
5. South East Europe FFG (SEEFFG) (under implementation): Turkey (RC), Croatia, Slovenia, Serbia, Romania, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Albania, Montenegro, Moldova, The Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, and Kosovo (Regional Centre)
6. SEEFFGS Forecaster ConsoleSnow ProductsProducts, Date and Time Selection ToolbarFFGS Products Surface Met. ObservationsTime Interval
7. SEEFFGS DashboardAnimation Button2345Dashboard console is designed to monitor server processes and :(2) Real-Time data downloads and inventory status;(3) Real-Time Data processing status;(4) Computational server status; and(5)Dissemination server status.
8. Basin Delineations
9. Precipitation Products - Overview
10. Average Soil Moisture
11. Flash Flood Guidance (FFG)
12. ALADIN (ALARO) QPF and FMAP
13. Forecast Flash Flood Threat (FFFT)
14. Flash Flood Hydrometeorologist Training Programme Training is and integral part of regional FFG Systems and consists of five steps:Step-1: Introductory in-country workshops and meetings such as Steering Committee Meetings;Step-2: On line eLearning comprises elements of meteorology, hydrology, flash flood guidance, GIS, and remote sensing; Step-3: Advanced operations and interactive simulator training at the Hydrologic Research Center (HRC), USA;Step-4: Regional operations training workshop toward qualification of WMO flash flood trainer certificate;Step-5: Regional operation sustainability workshop provided by the WMO certified trainer.
15. FFGS AdvancesUrban Flash Flood Early Warning SystemExpandable and Scalable Riverine Routing (Riverine Forecasting)Landslide Susceptibility MappingMulti-NWP Model ingestion
16. Possible Linkages Between SWFDP and regional FFG Systems SARFFGS-SWFDP-SABSMEFFGS-SWFDP-SEECARFFGS-SWFDP-CASAsaiFFGS-SWFDP-BoBMRFFGS-SWFDP-SEASAOFFGS-SWFDP-SAOCAFFGS-SWFDP-CaribbeanSWFDPFFGS
17. Twinning of SWFWP-SA and SARFFG SystemsObjectives:Mitigate the adverse impacts of hydrometeorological hazards by:Enhancing user interfaces and expand the suite of products available to forecasters;Developing products and information that addresses needs of users to reduce loss of lives and livelihoods due to extreme hydrometeorological events.
18. Twinning of SWFWP-SA and SARFFG SystemDisaster Management AgencyandCitizen Centric Products
19. ConsiderationsMoving from Severe Weather to FloodingFlash Floods to Riverine FloodsNot all riverine floods result from “severe weather”Snowmelt, rain and snowmelt, ice jams, reservoir operations, dam breaks (including GLOFs)Riverine hazards are not constrained to floodingIce is melting -- “Stay off the ice”!!!Citizen Centric Messaging (Impact based?)Amazing potential…Best practices? “Standardization of thresholds across jurisdictions?”How can the public interpret different products if based on different threshold approaches across jurisdictions?Flood (hazard/risk) Mapping -- GIS/GPS/mobile applicationsRiverine and urban flood warning linkages
20. Thank youMerci