KwaZuluNatal South Africa Brendan MaughanBrown Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit SALDRU University of Cape Town Gavin George Sean Beckett Health Economics and HIV and AIDS Research Division HEARD University of KwaZuluNatal ID: 642150
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Slide1
HIV and HSV-2 risk among young women in age-disparate partnerships: evidence from
KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
Brendan Maughan-BrownSouthern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit (SALDRU), University of Cape TownGavin George, Sean BeckettHealth Economics and HIV and AIDS Research Division (HEARD), University of KwaZulu-NatalMeredith EvansDepartment of Anthropology, York University, Toronto, CanadaCherie Cawood, David KhanyileEpicentre AIDS Risk Management, South AfricaLara Lewis, Ayesha BM KharsanyCentre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA), University of KwaZulu-NatalParis- 25 July, 2017Slide2
Background
HIV incidence is persistently high among young women in sub-Saharan Africa
.Evidence remains mixed whether age-disparate partnerships increase HIV-risk for young women.Uncertainty regarding value of risk reduction interventionsCompounding factors suggest increased HIV risk:Age-disparate male partners are more likely to be HIV-positive; Riskier sexual behaviours reported within age-disparate partnerships.Could patterns of ART uptake among men mitigate HIV-infection risk within age-disparate partnerships?HIV testing and ART uptake positively associated with age; Age-disparate HIV-positive partners more likely to be on ART.Slide3
Study
aimsPrimary
To assess the association between age-disparate partnerships and HIV status among 15-24 year old women in a high HIV prevalence region of South Africa.To examine whether the proportion of young women’s partners who are HIV-positive with a viral load ≥1000 copies/ml (i.e. pose a transmission risk) differs between age-disparate and age-similar partnerships.SecondaryTo assess the association between age-disparate partnerships and HSV-2 as HSV-2 is associated with increased HIV-infection risk.Slide4
Methods:
DataHIV Incidence Provincial Surveillance System (HIPSS)
1st baseline household survey (June 2014-2015)KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa2 neighbouring regions: 1 urban, 1 ruralRandom sampling ofEnumeration AreasHouseholdsOne individual (15-49) per householdBaseline sample: N = 9812 individuals Venous blood samples for HIV and HSV-2 testsFace-to-face questionnaire1st ever & 3 most recent sexual partnersStart dates of relationshipsDate & result of last HIV testSlide5
Methods:
HIV & HSV-2 among young womenDependent variablesHIV positive (ref: HIV negative)
HSV-2 positive (ref: HSV-2 negative)Age-disparate variablesUNAIDS definition: male partner ≥ 5 years olderThree binary measures of exposure to age-disparate relationship:most recent partnership is/was age-disparateat least 1 of a woman’s 3 most recent partnerships was age-disparateat least 1 of a woman’s 3 most recent partnerships or her first-ever relationship was age-disparateNB: partnerships (n=142) started after an HIV-positive diagnosis excludedunrelated to HIV infectionSlide6
Methods:
HIV & HSV-2 among young womenAnalysis
15-24 year old women with data on a sexual partner (N=1459)Multiple logistic regressionSeparate models for three age-disparate measuresControl measures: age, education, hh SES, #sexual partners, past HIV-testing, HIV knowledgeWeighted data & adjusted standard errors (clustering at the enumeration area level)Young women15-24 (n=1459)Slide7
Methods
: HIV prevalence and viral load among young women's
partnersDataAll ongoing partnerships men reported with a woman 15 to 24 years old (N=1229)Assumption: represent all partnerships involving 15 to 24 year old women
Young women
Men (15-49 years old) in partnership with young women aged 15-24
Dependent variables:
HIV positive
HIV+ & viral load ≥1000 copies/ml
Independent variables - 3 categories of age-disparate partners:
Men ≥5 years older
Men 5-9 years older
Men ≥10 years older (intergenerational)Slide8
Methods
: HIV prevalence and viral load among young women's
partnersAnalysisMultiple logistic regression models association between partnership type and HIV status and viral load of male partnersControl var: female partner ageWeighted data & adjusted standard errors (clustering at the enumeration area level)
Young women
Men (15-49 years old) in partnership with young women aged 15-24Slide9
Results
: age-disparate partnerships
% [95%CI]Partnerships reported by young women Age-disparate (5+ year gap) Last partner 32% [28-35]
Any of last 3 partners
36
% [32-40]
1
st
or
any of last 3 partners
42
% [37-46]
Partnerships (on-going) reported by men
5
+ age
gap
26
% [22-30]
5-9
year
gap
19
% [16-23]
10
+ year
gap
7
% [4-9]Slide10
Results:
HIV & HSV-2 among young women
HIV+HIV+ OR [95%CI]aOR
[95%CI]
Last partner
Age-similar
ref
ref
Age-disparate
1.62***[1.26-2.09
]
1.51*** [1.15-1.99]
Last 3 partners
Age-similar
ref
ref
Age-disparate
1.75*** [
1.35-2.28]
1.58*** [1.20-2.09]
1
st
or last 3 partners
Age-similar
ref
ref
Age-disparate
1.92*** [1.41-2.61]
1.56** [1.08-2.26]
HSV-2+
aOR
[95%CI]
ref
1.65*** [1.27-2.15]
ref
1.62*** [1.23-2.14]
ref
1.80*** [1.34-2.42]
***p<0.01;
**
p<0.05
25%
36%
25%
37%
22%
35%Slide11
Results:
HIV prevalence and viral load among young women's partners
HIV+HIV+ with viral load≥1000 copies/ml aOR(95%CI)
aOR
(95%CI)
Partnership age-gap
(ref:
≤4 years)
5-9 years
2.27***
2.01**
(1.34 - 3.84)
(1.17 - 3.46)
10+ years
5.50***
2.17**
(2.62 - 11.52)
(1.05 - 4.51)
aOR
: 2.92*** (95%CI: 1.82 - 4.69)
aOR
: 2.05*** (95%CI: 1.29
–
3.26)
11%
27%
9%
17%
***p<0.01;
**
p<0.05Slide12
Conclusions
Age-disparate partnerships associated with increased HIV risk
Consistent with a phylogenetic transmission network analysis conducted using a sub-sample of participants from the HIPSS studyConsistent with recent longitudinal dataInterventions to reduce HIV infection risks associated with age-disparate partnerships may help to prevent new infections among young womenResults indicate biological plausibility for the positive associationAge-disparate partners more likely to pose an HIV-infection riskHIV-prevention among young women = early diagnosis and treatment of HIV-positive men in age-disparate partnershipsART uptake patterns may mitigate the additional risk posed by intergenerational partnerships. The distinction between different types of age-disparate partnerships may be less relevant when considering biological risk. Slide13
Acknowledgments
HIPSS sponsorship and funding Statement
HIPSS was funded by the US President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) through the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) under terms of the co-operative agreement 3U2GGH000372-02 W1
HIPSS Protocol implementation and analysis
Ayesha BM Kharsany, Principal Investigator
Cherie
Cawoood
, Project Director
David
Khanyile
, Field Project Manager
Anneke Grobler, Study Statistician
Lara Lewis, Study Statistician
Investigators
Centre for the Programme of AIDS Research in South Africa (
CAPRISA)
Epicentre AIDS Risk Management
Health Economics and HIV/AIDSs Research Division (HEARD)
Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit (SALDRU), University of Cape Town
HIPSS Collaborating Partners
uMgungundlovu District office DOH
HAST Unit, KZN Department of Health
KZN Department of Health
National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service (NICD/NHLS)
To all the households and individual study participants, traditional and municipal leadership, HIPSS field and office staff, all laboratory staff and PHC clinic staff in the district