PPT-The Impact of Counterfactual

Thinking on Persuasion Kaiyu wang phd goodman school of business brock university Canada National university of Kaohsiung March 13 2014 What is Counterfactual Thinking C. for control observations. More generally, one would also want to drop treatment observations if they have covariat University of Waikato. Possible Worlds. Day . 4. TOPICS. Lewis’ Counterfactual Theory of Causation. Counterfactual Conditionals. Causal Dependence. Testing the Counterexamples to Hume. Identity . From Promises into Evidence. IMPACT. EVALUATION. AND. . This material constitutes supporting material for the "Impact Evaluation in Practice" book. This additional material is made freely but please acknowledge its use as follows: . Marc Shotland. Training Director and . Senior Research . Manager. J-PAL. What is….. 2. What is . J-PAL?. Research . center within the . Economics Department . of MIT. A network of 51 affiliated professors. Shwetlena. . Sabarwal. . (thanks to Markus Goldstein for the slides). Objective. Find a plausible counterfactual. Every non-experimental method is associated with an assumption. The stronger the assumption the weaker the estimate. proposes more holistic perspectives. What’s involved in “rigorous impact evaluation”?. . Presented by Jim Rugh. t. o NONIE Conference in Paris 28 March 2011 . Join me in a review the basics of:. Gertler. , P. J.; Martinez, S., . Premand. , P., Rawlings, L. B. and . Christel. M. J. . Vermeersch. , 2010, Impact Evaluation in Practice: Ancillary Material, The World Bank, Washington DC (www.worldbank.org/ieinpractice). The content of this presentation reflects the views of the authors and not necessarily those of the World Bank. . Identify. cause - effect. 2. e. nable good policy decisions. 3. LET’S HAVE ICE CREAM. Confusing correlation with causation is easy and may provoke bad policy . decisions. 4. LET’S HAVE ICE CREAM. proposes more holistic perspectives. What’s involved in “rigorous impact evaluation”?. . Presented by Jim Rugh. t. o NONIE Conference in Paris 28 March 2011 . Join me in a review the basics of:. Models. and Impact Evaluation. Pasquale Lucio Scandizzo. University. of Rome «Tor Vergata. » and The World . Bank. The . three. . problems. . of impact . evaluation. (. Heckman. , 2010). P1. Evaluating . Paul Gertler. UC Berkeley. Note: slides by Sebastian Martinez, Christel Vermeersch and Paul Gertler. The content of this presentation reflects the views of the authors and not necessarily those of the World Bank. This version: November 2009.. 12 June 2013. Overview. Predatory pricing. Counterfactual in NZ. Criticism and proposal. Predatory Pricing. Predation Phase: lowering prices in order to foreclose competition. Recoupment Phase: Reap monopoly profits and recoup losses of predation phase. Grammaticalization . and Reanalysis in Hebrew. Elior Elkayam. Tel Aviv University. The 5. th.  International Conference For Graduate Students On Diverse Approaches To Linguistics. 0. Introduction. Lecture 12: Causality 3. Guest lecturer: Tadeg . Quillien. School of Informatics, University of Edinburgh. Last week: causal inference. Oxygen. Wood. Spark. Fire. How can we discover the general causal relations among all these things?.