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Advanced Lake Leaders Conference Advanced Lake Leaders Conference

Advanced Lake Leaders Conference - PowerPoint Presentation

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Advanced Lake Leaders Conference - PPT Presentation

Thomas A Heberlein Sometimes it is OK to judge book by its cover Attitudes are like rocks in a river Many are underwater and you cannot see them perhaps the most dangerous You dont go down the river trying to move them out of the way dynamite ID: 321043

change attitudes fix technological attitudes change technological fix social lake behavior public structural river people flood fixes problem water environment science consistent

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Slide1

Advanced Lake Leaders Conference

Thomas A. HeberleinSlide2

Sometimes it is OK to judge book by its cover

Attitudes are like rocks in a river

Many are underwater and you cannot see them –perhaps the most dangerous

You don’t go down the river trying to move them out of the way (dynamite!)

But you must know their location and how to read the water to successfully navigate.Slide3

Attitudes and solving environmental problems: The Three Fixes

Technological Fix

Cognitive Fix

Structural Fix

The environment doesn’t have problems, we as humans have problems When we

have problems with the environment,

there are three ways of trying to fix them Slide4

Problem of Flooding in the US

Huge Flood Loses 1920’s-30’sThe response was the change natureBy using technology (Hence the

Technological

F

ix)Massive Dam Building Program Billions of Dollars SpentAssessment of Flood Losses 30 years laterRivers were modified BUT...Flood Losses INCREASED!Why?Slide5

Dams changed the behavior of the river and the attitudes and behavior of people as well

Rivers were “sort of” controlled

Fewer “Floods”

People thought they were safe

Moved into Flood PlainThe Technological Fix, seems to avoid people but it doesn’t.Slide6

The Cognitive Fix

Let’s Change Human BehaviorGet the people rather than the rivers out of the flood plain

Chicago Geographers: “Educate the Public

(aka “Knowledge Deficiency Model”)Created Flood Plain MapsTried them out in Kansas CityThey didn’t workSlide7

The Structural Fix

Who really owns houses? Asked the Chicago geographers.Bankers

Smaller Group

Easy to Target

More “Rational”No Loans in the Flood PlainFlood InsuranceFlood Plain ZoningSlide8

The Three Fixes in Stockholm

How do you reduce traffic in the Center of the CitySlide9
Slide10

Solving Auto Crowding in Stockholm

Technological Fix Tear down buildings, build new roads and bridges (change the environment)Cognitive Fix

Massive advertising campaign trying to convince people to not drive down town

Structural Fix

Trängselskatt Slide11
Slide12

Crowding Tax was implemented

And tested in an adaptive management frameworkReduced travel in the center of the city over 20 %

Passed the “inter-ocular

traumatic test”

Continues today to reduce crowding in the center Slide13

How the Three Fixes WorksSlide14

Technological

Cognitive

Structural

What Changes

Environment

Human Behavior

Human Behavior

How Change is Achieved

Technological change influences the environment directly

Information changes human behavior

Organizational and/or technological change influences human behavior

What Happens

Environmental variation is modified

Attitudes change and behavior change follows

Behaviors are changed. Attitude change may follow

Role of Attitudes

Developments must be consistent with dominant public attitudes and values

Effective change in attitude is necessary and attitudes must influence behavior

Structural changes must be consistent with dominant public attitudes and valuesSlide15

Target

Must change only key groups or key individuals

Must change general public as individuals

Must change key decision makers and other gate keepers

Benefit

Usually effective at modifying the environment in predictable ways

Consistent with freedom and responsibility values. Particularly important in the USA

Likely to be effective with lower cost and with fewer negative effects than the Technological Fix

Public Acceptability

High

High

Low

Problems

High cost. Can fail to solve problem and can create other problems

It is difficult to change public attitudes, and often these attitudes have little to do with what people actually do

Low public acceptability in the US. Seen as social engineering. Design problems because of political compromisesSlide16

Other Examples of Fixes

The Department Coffee RoomThe Merrimac River CrossingLead Free GasolineHeberlein’s 1974 PorscheSlide17

The Departmental Coffee Room

Problem--Using Styrofoam Cups

How to change behavior and save the “environment?”

Cognitive Fix

Put up a sign

Structural Fix

Provide only paper/ or China cups

Technological Fix

Coffee “fountains”

Lesson: Environmental Fixes must be consistent with

attitudes and cultureSlide18

The Merrimac River Crossing

Problem--River Crossing

Solutions: Ferry, Bridge or None

Ferry doesn’t allow crossing in the winter

Other Technological Fixes

Use railroad bridge in the winter

Ice Road

Lesson: Technological Fixes must be

consistent with attitudes and cultureSlide19

Lead Free Gasoline

Problem: Reduce lead in the environment by providing

Lead Free Gasoline--How do you get people to use it

Cognitive Fix--Educate the Public

Structural Fix

Converters Required

Smaller nozzle required

Passed Law Requiring

Technological Fix??

Build lead processor into cars--shell shot out put!Slide20

Heberlein’s 1974 Porsche

Problem: How to get people to wear seat belts?

Cognitive Fix: Educate the Public

Structural Fix: Interlock Device

Car won’t start unless seat belts locked

Technological Fix?

Automatic Seat Belts

Air Bags

Lesson: Structural Fixes must be

consistent with attitudes and cultureSlide21

Attitudes and the Three Fixes

Technological Developments must be consistent with broad Public Attitudes

Cognitive

Effective Attitude Change is Central and Behaviors Must Follow Attitudes

Structural Structural Changes must be consistent with broad Public AttitudesSlide22

Conclusion

No matter which Fix you try you must have scientific information on attitudes or ...Slide23

Reducing Algae in Lake Mendota

The Technological Fix—Change NatureSlide24

Food Web Management Project

Goal was to reduce algae by increasing the number of planktivoresBy decreasing the number of little fish that ate planktivores

How?

By dumping in a lot of big fish (walleyes and northerns) to eat the little fish

ONE PROBLEMSlide25

They Forgot the Top Predator!

Angler numbers increased by almost 600%

At the ecosystem scale for lakes, this role of humans is insufficiently appreciated and poorly anticipated. This predator learns rapidly. It communicates quickly. A modest number of those most experienced and skilled can quickly undo a carefully planned food web manipulation.”

James F. Kitchell and Stephen R. Carpenter,Slide26

Ice Fishermen

Came to the limnology labTo ask to use the phoneIn the days before cell phones

To order pizzas

And the scientists helped

them out, which I guess is only reasonable in a food chain experimentSlide27

We need as much knowledge

of the humans outside the lake as we do of biology of the lake

of the 33 authors of the summary book, not one was a social science

IT WASN’T THE LIMNOLOGISTS’S FAULT

At all of UW and the WDNR there was nowhere near the capacity to understand angler population dynamicsOr farmer behavior (the current problem for the water quality)Slide28

Sociologists (namely me) don’t do any better

The sad story of cleaning up Delavan LakeSlide29

1986 Heberlein Directs WRM Masters

16 Students

Designed Lake Delavan Management Plan

Technological Fix—Changed Nature

The WRM curriculum integrates the biological and physical sciences (which identify and measure problems) with engineering (which provides technological alternatives) and law

and the social sciences (

which assess needs and potential for institutional response). Slide30

By 1989, a comprehensive rehabilitation project began. The $7 million project was completed within three years and included:

• Drawing down the lake's water leve

l by 10 feet to facilitate the

eradication of the entire fish population.

• Building three ponds before the water entered the inlet and dredging a sediment control channel

in the inlet.

Reconstructing the dam

at the end of the outlet.

Treating the bottom of the lake

to trap phosphorus sediments and prevent them from re-entering the lake.

Constructing a peninsula

near Community Park to divert sediment-laden water by redirecting it toward the outlet.

Restocking game fish

as the lake refilled to its normal level.

Does this sound like social science to you??Slide31

The project was a success! 1991 water clarity was at 26 feet deep.

Property values went up

Some sold theirs and walked with the profits

People could swim and fish

Our CV surveys showed owners would pay $80-100 annually for this improvementBut this money was never collectedAnglers from around the state were attracted by the fisheriesThey didn’t pay any clean water fees eitherSlide32

2005—lake is dirty again

AND NO MONEY TO CLEAN UP!We FORGOT social sustainability

We failed to build in institutional mechanisms to promote sustainability

WHY?

Not enough social sciences1 social psychologist (me)1 economist (visiting faculty)Of the 16 students only 3 had any real social science training

Use Enough Social Science!Slide33

Failure at the Grand CanyonSlide34

The Direct Experience Principle

One of four principles helpful for understanding attitudes

The Consistency Principle

The Identify Principle

The Specificity PrincipleAttitudes based on direct experience are stronger, less likely to change, and more likely to influence our actions. Many attitudes are not based on direct experienceSlide35

Attitudes of Visitors (oar/motor)

Satisfaction of visitors who take oar and motor powered trips is high and about the same.BUT . . . visitors take only one trip.

Few have Direct Experience with BOTH kinds of trips.

So without this, how do they know?

Anyone who has been on both types of trips knows there are vast differences.Slide36

Best of Both Experiment

Worked with an outfitter who ran both motorized and oar powered trips floated half of the canyon on oar or motor powered trips

then switched to the opposite kind.

Attitudes measured after

both experiencesExperimental Design giving Direct ExperienceShelby, B. “Contrasting Recreational Experiences: Motors and Oars in the Grand Canyon.”

Journal of Soil and Water Conservation

35 (1980): 129–31.Slide37

After taking BOTH trips

Choose oars for next trip 87%Recommend oars to friend 79%Oars better 90%

Oars described as

quiet, relaxing, natural, friendly

Motors described asloud, big, noisy, crowded

Data pass the inter ocular

traumatic testSlide38

So with such compelling data why are motors still on the river? Slide39

Blame Managers?

SolutionNational Park Service Managers on another Best Both Trip

Bill Whalen—Director National Park Service

Howard Chapman—Western Region Director

Merle Stitt—Superintendent of Grand Canyon National ParkStaff of the Secretary of Interior’s officeBased on their experience they strongly supported phasing out motors as part of the Inner Canyon Management PlanSlide40

Blame Politics?

A first term senator Orrin Hatch from the State of Utah added an amendment to the NPS appropriations bill“If the river management plan with the motorized rafting phase-out was implemented funding for river management at GRCA would be stripped from the budget.”

AND MOTORS STAYED ON THE RIVER.Slide41

Blame Science???

And the scientist?

Were the right studies done?

Enough social science? and in the right place?Slide42

All the science I recommended was done in the canyon

Attitude surveys of visitors, careful measurement of contacts on the river at varying density levels

No studies done of

the rafting industry

the community impacts of a ban on oarsdemonstration projects to understand how transition from motors to oarsSlide43

Think Beyond the RimSlide44

William Freudenburg

“Forty years ago, when a new trend called ‘environmentalism’ swept the county and much of the planet, respected professors were pretty sure they knew what needed to be done. In a nutshell, their ideas involved careful research on every single species on the planet except one—the one that was actually at the root of almost everything they called an ‘environmental’ problem. For that one species, they said that, instead, what we needed to do was ‘educate the public.”Slide45

Use Enough Social Science

Our current efforts are like shooting an elephant with a 22

One Survey is Not Enough!

We need teams of social scientists to join the natural scientists—to balance biocentrism Sociologists (understanding communities)

Political Scientists (governance)

Social Psychologists (attitudes)

Economists (consumer surplus, expenditures)

Even Anthropologists