Week 11 Race and Redistricting November 2 2017 Class Agenda Discussion of Week 11 Discussant News Articles PresentationDiscussion of Alabama Paper Discussion of Carey Discussion of ID: 755361
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Slide1
State Politics
Lecture and Materials
Week
11: Race and Redistricting
November 2,
2017Slide2
Class Agenda
Discussion of Week
11
Discussant News
Articles
Presentation/Discussion
of Alabama Paper
Discussion
of
Carey
Discussion of
DeGrandy
Discussion of
Maginnis BookSlide3
United Jewish Organizations of Williamsburg v. Carey
(1977)
Background
Brooklyn, Manhattan, and the Bronx were covered by Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act
Section 5 requires preclearance of any voting or election changes prior to implementation
Notice the state tried to meet the objections of the Justice DepartmentRemember this is before gentrificationThe African-American population of the borough skyrocketed after WWIIIt was home to a large Hasidic communityThey were upset that they were split between majority non-white districts, instead of having their own districtsThis was to spread out the non-white majority population among districtsSlide4
United Jewish Organizations of Williamsburg v. Carey (1977)
The population of Brooklyn then was about 65% white
But whites would control 70% of the seats in the legislative districts
Did the plan unfairly dilute the influence of the Hasidic and white population of the area?
Could the legislature use racial data in consideration of the drawing of districts?
How does this relate to the idea of proportional representation?Slide5
United Jewish Organizations of Williamsburg v. Carey (1977)
How did the Court rule?
What does it mean when it say the “judgment of the Court” vs. the “opinion of the Court”
Was it alright to use race to enhance minority representation vs. to dilute it?
Why would a 52% non white district be problematic for minority representation?
What is racial bloc voting?Candidate of choiceSlide6
United Jewish Organizations of Williamsburg v. Carey (1977)
Brennan
Why is he concerned about segregating districts by race?
Coalition building
Suspect classifications
reverse discriminationIs the Hasidic community deserving of its own representation?Or do whites still have adequate representation?Racial fillersBurger, C.J.Does he think that only people of one race can adequately represent that group or the opposite?Slide7
Vote Dilution
What are some ways to dilute minority voting strength?
Multi-member districts
At-large elections
Manipulation of electoral lines
CrackingPackingPopulation malapportionment Lack of redistrictingUse of lower voting areas to make a minority majority districts (non-citizen, prisoner)Slide8
But when to create a Minority-Majority District?
The Court struggled with this in
City of Mobile v. Bolden
(1980)
The
Court found that discriminatory intent was requiredIt involved a challenge to at-large election of City CommissionersSystem in place since 1911No blacks elected since the city was majority whiteBut with a substantial black minorityCourt precedent had been inconsistent priorWhitcomb v. ChavisWhite v. RegesterSlide9
But Congress reverses the Court
In 1982, the VRA is renewed by Congress for an additional 25 years
Changed the intent/purpose (
Bolden)
to one of impact or effect
Due to some opposition from Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-Utah) and other Republicans, Sen. Robert Dole (R-Kansas) put in the provision on proportionalitySometimes can show intentBusbee v. Smith (D.D.C. 1983)To draw a black majority seat in Atlanta"I don't want to draw ni**er districts”Said by the chair of the Reapportionment CommitteeSlide10
North Carolina House Districts
The
Gingles
involved multi-member House districts in Mecklenburg (8), Wake (6), Forsyth (5), and Durham (3)*, Rocky Mount area (4) and Senate districts 22 (4)- Charlotte and 2 (2) Eastern NC
*Court found Durham blacks had PRSlide11
How to interpret the effect test
Easy cases get resolved quickly
Major v. Treen
Mississippi Republican Executive Committee v. Brooks
Another note
Parties not a protected class under the VRA- Quilter v. VoinovichCandidate of choice!The choice for minority voters may be a white candidateNew Orleans, Memphis, Atlanta, Newark, DetroitBill de Blasio- blacks may choose a white candidate over a black oneBlacks do not choose Republican black over a Democrat whiteSlide12
The Gingles
Test- Prong #1
1) Sufficiently large and geographically compact
How large?
VAP, CVAP, super-majorities (65% rule-
United Jewish Organizations of Williamsburg v. Carey)?Bartlett v. Strickland seems to set it at majority VAPRacial differences in VAP, registration, turnoutWhat about influence and coalition districts?How compact?The Shawn v. Reno line of casesSlide13
The Gingles
Test- Prong #2
2) The minority group shows they are politically cohesive
Members of the minority group usually vote for the same candidates
Blacks vote 90%+ Dem
But cohesive to the same party or something else?Blacks in Harlem vs. Dominicans in Washington Heights vs Puerto Ricans (Rangel seat)Both heavily Dem, but they tend in primaries to vote for the candidate of their ethnicityCultural cohesive as well?LULAC- Hispanics in Rio Grande Valley different from those in AustinNavajo and Hopi tribesCoalition districts not requiredCan you add minority groups together?
Miami-Dade County- Cubans and blacks vote different ways
Black voters- “think alike, share the same political interests, and will prefer the same candidates at the polls is offensive and demeaning”
Shaw v. RenoSlide14
The
Gingles
Test- Prong
#3
3) White Bloc Voting
Does the white majority vote sufficiently as a bloc to enable e them to usually defeat the minority’s preferred candidateThink of the McDonald/Engstrom scatter plot of NorfolkNo need to prove racial animositySomething to considerEarly cases often took place in the one party South or Democratic dominated cities (Karlin), but the GOP has risen in the SouthGrofman from the District CourtThe court found that in all but 2 of the 53 elections the degree of racial bloc voting was so marked as to be substantively significant, in the sense that the results of the individual election would have been different depending upon whether it had been held among only the white voters or only the black voters.
L
ess than 50% of the white voters cast a ballot for the black candidate.
People tend to elect candidates like themselvesSlide15
Example of racially polarized votingSlide16
In the next round of redistricting
An unusual pair
Black Democrats and White Republicans join forces
Bush (41) Justice Department and “max black”
An effort to create as many black majority seats as possible
Why is this problematic overall for Democrats in general?BleachingThe result is a massive increase in minority representation in Congress and in other legislative chambersBut the losers were White DemocratsSlide17
But how much can we use race?
Shaw v. Reno
(1993)
Strict scrutiny applies when redistricting is based on race
Compelling state interest
Narrowly tailoredLeast restrictive meansO’Connor refers to districts as “racial apartheid”But in North Carolina, blacks were about 23% of population, but still only held 18% of seatsSlide18
What else happens? Strangely shaped districts overturned- LouisianaSlide19
TexasSlide20
GeorgiaSlide21
FloridaSlide22
New YorkSlide23
Illinois- This one was upheld
Was the Least Restrictive MeansSlide24
Where does the Court settle?
Eventually the Court lets up on these districts
So long as they are not really strangely shaped
Race has to be the predominant factor to overturn-
Miller v. Johnson
(1995)And subordinated traditional redistricting criteriaEasley v. Cromartie (2000)Court eventually upholds a Charlotte to Winston-Salem seatRacial correlation with political behavior so can one draw odd shaped lines for political purposes?Conjoined polarizationSlide25
Johnson v. DeGrandy (1995)
Challenge to Legislative Districts in Miami-Dade County
Plaintiffs showed that more minority majority districts could be drawn than were drawn
District Court held they met
Gingles
criteriaShould there be more districts drawn?How did the Court rule?Why did they rule that way?Slide26
Later Racial Gerrymander Issues
A major issue when Republican start drawing lines is over-packing minority voters
Can one overconcentration minority voters where it becomes a vote dilution issue or 14
th
Amendment issue?
Personhuballah v. Whitman (2016)Virginia Case- 57% BlackCooper v. Harris (2017)North Carolina casesSlide27
Political Gerrymandering
The term gerrymandering is for Elbridge Gerry
The practice of manipulating lines for electoral advantage goes back a long time too
This district in Massachusetts
Computer technology has greatly enhanced the ability to gerrymander Slide28
Davis v. Bandemer
The Court considered political gerrymandering in 1986 in a case from Indiana
Plaintiffs alleged Equal Protection harm under the 14
th
Amendment
The Court held it was justiciable, but could not agree on a standardBy the end of the decade, Democrats won control of the Indiana House and 8/10 US House seatsO’Connor said gerrymanders were “self-limiting”Slide29
Vieth and
LULAC
The Court tackled the issue in 2004 and in 2006
This time a 5-4 majority ruled the issue justiciable, but could still not agree on a standard
However, Kennedy seemed open to some type of symmetry test
He had a problem using hypothetical electionsThe Court found Pennsylvania and Texas to not be political gerrymandersDems win a majority of PA seats in 2006 and 2008Slide30
Vote/Seat CurveSlide31
So let’s play a game… In Syracuse
The city of Syracuse is
64% Anglo
25% Black
Five districts- neutral draw (%black)
1 (blue) 43%2 (green) 33%3 (purple) 22%4 (red) 19%5 (yellow) 7%Slide32
But let’s follow Gingles
(maybe)
I don’t think any of these districts look visually bad
But we change the racial breakdown
1 (blue) 16%
2 (green) 55% (51% VAP)3 (purple) 26%4 (red) 23%5 (yellow) 18%Slide33Slide34