PPT-The Elements of a Musical Ensemble

Subsidiary Diploma in Music Performing LO1 Understand the Elements of Musical Ensembles Band Members Anyone can form a band but how good it is depends on organisation and communication skills along with a will to want to play together. for the NCEP GFS. Tom Hamill, for . Jeff . Whitaker. NOAA Earth System Research Lab, Boulder, CO, USA. jeffrey.s.whitaker@noaa.gov. Daryl Kleist, Dave Parrish and John . Derber. National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Camp Springs, MD, USA. . Thorpex-Tigge. . and use in Applications. Tom Hopson. Outline. Thorpex. -Tigge. data set. Ensemble forecast examples:. a) Southwestern African . flooding. . TIGGE, the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble. Simon . Lang, . Martin . Leutbecher, Massimo Bonavita. Initialization of the EPS. The ensemble of data assimilations (EDA) is used to estimate analysis uncertainty for the ensemble.. In the current configuration the EDA perturbations are re-. fundamentals. Tom Hamill. NOAA ESRL, Physical Sciences Division. tom.hamill@noaa.gov. NOAA Earth System. Research Laboratory. “Ensemble weather prediction”. possibly. different. models. or models. David Unger. Climate Prediction Center. Summary. A linear regression model can be designed specifically for ensemble prediction systems.. It is best applied to direct model forecasts of the element in question.. Kalman. Filters. Yun Liu. Dept. of Atmospheric and Oceanic . Science, University of Maryland  . Atmospheric and oceanic . s. ciences and Center for Climatic . R. esearch, UW-Madison. Collaborators: X. . and post-processing . team reports to NGGPS. Tom Hamill. ESRL, Physical Sciences Division. tom.hamill@noaa.gov. (303) 497-3060. 1. Proposed team . members. Ensemble system development. Post-processing. Which of the two options increases your chances of having a good grade on the exam? . Solving the test individually. Solving the test in groups. Why?. Ensemble Learning. Weak classifier A. Ensemble Learning. Lifeng. Yan. 1361158. 1. Ensemble of classifiers. Given a set . of . training . examples, . a learning algorithm outputs a . classifier which . is an hypothesis about the true . function f that generate label values y from input training samples x. Given . Better Predictions Through Diversity. Todd Holloway. ETech 2008. Outline. Building a classifier (a tutorial example). Neighbor method. Major ideas and challenges in classification. Ensembles in practice. Kalman. filter. Part I: The Big Idea. Alison Fowler. Intensive course on advanced data-assimilation methods. 3-4. th. March 2016, University of Reading. Recap of problem we wish to solve. Given . prior knowledge . Earl -- 2010. 45-km outer domain. 15-km moving nest. Best Track. Ensemble Members. Relocated Nest. COAMPS-TC Forecast Ensemble. Web Page Interface. http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/coamps-web/web/ens?&spg=1. Keith Dalbey, PhD. Sandia National Labs, Dept 1441. Optimization & Uncertainty Quantification. Abani. K. . Patra. , PhD. Department of Mechanical & Aerospace Engineering, University at Buffalo. Presentation by: Mehdi Shahriari. Advisor: Guido . Cervone. Research Questions. How to use Analog Ensemble . for probabilistic weather prediction?. . What is the uncertainty associated with wind power estimates?.