MARY JO SEKELSKY BARBARA DIXON BOB BARNETT VAHID LOTFI GREG LAURENCE BRAD MAKI SUSAN GANOPHILLIPS AIMI MOSS ROY BARNES JAY GANDHI May 21 amp M ay 27 2015 Sem process framework 1 Align institutional strategic plan with broad enrollment targets and desired mix of students ID: 811919
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Slide1
Sem
feedback forum
STEERING COMMITTEEMARY JO SEKELSKYBARBARA DIXONBOB BARNETTVAHID LOTFIGREG LAURENCEBRAD MAKISUSAN GANO-PHILLIPSAIMI MOSSROY BARNESJAY GANDHI
May 21 & M
ay
27, 2015
Slide2Sem process framework
1. Align institutional strategic plan with broad enrollment targets and desired mix of students
2. Data gathering and assessment:
Internal culture/environment, student enrollment behaviors and scan of external environment
3. Use data results to establish focused goals each for recruitment, retention, service, etc., and enrollment projection models
4. Approve strategic goals and enrollment projection models
5. Develop action steps, accountability, and
metrics
6. Implement action steps
7. Monitor progress,
Report results to campus and executive leadership
Executive Team
SEM Steering Committee
Smaller group of staff and faculty adept at economics and data use
Goals recommended by SEM Recruitment and Retention Councils; models developed by Data Team
Executive Team
SEM Steering Committee
SEM councils and sub-committees
Appropriate staff and faculty departments
SEM Steering Committee
Chief Enrollment Officer
Mid-course
adjustments
Changes
to goals
Additional requests, clarifying questions
New or revised goals
Slide3Data team
Roy Barnes, Co-ChairJay Gandhi, Co-ChairJon DavidsonBrad Maki
Aimi MossKaren ArnouldLori VedderDan AdamsDeb WhiteFawn Skarsten
Slide4UM-flint ten-Year Trend
33.5 % overall increase since 2005
24.8% undergraduate increase since 200599% graduate increase since 2005
Slide5International enrollment
Slide6Decreasing production of High School Graduates nationwide
Michigan among most affected nationwideAnticipated contraction of 20% by 2020 in Michigan
Source: WICHE Knocking at the College Door
Slide7Decreasing production of High School Graduates - Michigan
Source: WICHE
Knocking at the College Door, Michigan projections
Slide8Decreasing production of High School Graduates – Genesee County
10.6% drop 2010 – 2014
25.3% drop 2010 – 2020
Slide9Decline in community college enrollment
17.7% drop overall
26.5% drop Mott CCTransfer students make up 66% of new undergraduates each yearApproximately 45% of transfer students come from Mott Community College
Slide10UM-FLINT HISTORICAL RETENTION RATES FTIAC
Source: UM Flint Institutional Assessment, Fawn
Skarsten
Slide11UM-FLINT DOMESTIC FTIAC
Domestic FTIAC
Start Term
Starting count
%
retained to second fall
%
retained to third fall
Fall 2008
897
71.6%
50.3%
Fall 2009
761
69.6%
54.4%Fall 2010667
67.2%59.1%Fall 2011
567
71.3%59.4%
Fall 201253378.4%
62.3%Fall 2013
639
68.9%??Source: Historical UM Flint data files (not tied to official IPEDS totals)
Roughly 40-50% of all freshmen are gone after two years
Slide12TOP CHOICES FOR NEXT INSTITUTION AFTERUM-FLINT (ALL STUDENTS with known destinations, N=3478)
Mott Community College (32.4%)
Baker College – Flint (11.2%)
Oakland Community College (5.1%)
UM – Ann Arbor (3.2%)
Lansing Community College (3.1%)
Michigan State University (2.6%)
Central Michigan University (2.5%)
Oakland University (2.5%)
Davenport University (1.7%)
University of Phoenix (1.7%)
Delta College (1.6%)
Saginaw Valley State University (1.4%)
St. Clair Community College (1.4%)Eastern Michigan (1.4%)
Unknown (N=3333)
Other (28.2%)
Slide13Recruitment council
Greg Laurence, Management, Co-ChairBrad Maki, Graduate Programs, Co-ChairMelva Craft-Blacksheare, Nursing
Chris Heidenreich, MusicMelissa Brown, University RelationsJon Davidson, Undergraduate AdmissionsLori Vedder, Financial AidDan Adams, International CenterDeb White, Extended Learning
Slide14Recruitment goal recommendations
Maintain average number of FTIAC (Fall) at 700
Diversify the recruitment geography Reduce number of Promise (Challenge) ScholarsStrategically recruit DEEP and Early College studentsIncrease international students 60% by Fall 2020Increase availability of online programs
Slide15Recruitment goal recommendations
Mitigate potential loss of new transfer students to no more than -10%
Creating better pathways from selected institutionsIncreased international studentsIncreased availability of online programsGrow new graduate enrollment XX% by Fall 2020 so that graduate students make up 20-22% of total enrollmentNew programsIncreased international studentsIncreased online students
Slide16RETENTION council
Susan Gano-Phillips, Arts & Sciences, Co-ChairAimi Moss, Student Success Center, Co-ChairAmelia
Biehl, EconomicsJan Furman, EnglishKrista Hansen, MathematicsKazuko Hiramatsu, EnglishSarah Rosaen, CommunicationStephen Turner, Computer ScienceJerry Glasco, Financial ServicesRob Montry, Student AffairsFawn Skarsten, Institutional AnalysisChris Waters, Undergraduate Studies
Slide17Retention goal recommendations
Increase Retention Rates for FTIAC Students:
1st Year Retention Rate: From 72% to 79% by Fall 20202nd Year Retention Rate: From 66% to 70% by Fall 2020Increase 1st
Year Retention Rate for Transfer Students (Overall): From 76%
to 80% by Fall 2020
Increase 1
st
Year Retention Rate for Transfer Students with Less
T
han 24 Transfer Credits: From 63% to 70% by Fall 2020
Slide18FEEDBACK