PPT-Using the GFDL Hurricane Model to Explore Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change

Tom Knutson NOAAGFDL Climate Impacts and Extremes Group GFDLNOAA Princeton New Jersey May 2017 Super Typhoon Haiyan 2013 Collaborators Bob Tuleya Joe Sirutis Morris Bender. Ray Bell. Supervisors – Prof. Pier Luigi . Vidale. , Dr. Jane Strachan and Dr. Kevin Hodges. Tropical Hour – 11th Jul. About me . Previous studies. Models. Tracking algorithm. Results. Future work. and Climate Change. AOSS 480 - 4/20/2015. Bukowski, Frey, Loeffler, Slevin. http://eoimages.gsfc.nasa.gov/images/imagerecords/79000/79553/sandy_goe_2012302_1745_lrg.jpg. Presentation Outline. Analysis of Hurricane Sandy. and Climate Change. AOSS 480 - 4/20/2015. Bukowski, Frey, Loeffler, Slevin. http://eoimages.gsfc.nasa.gov/images/imagerecords/79000/79553/sandy_goe_2012302_1745_lrg.jpg. Presentation Outline. Analysis of Hurricane Sandy. Progression of Tropical Events. Easterly Wave (Tropical Disturbance). Tropical Depression. Tropical Storm. Hurricane. 10-25%. 50-60%. Easterly Wave. Tropical Cyclones and Sea-Surface Temperatures. HiGEM. Ray Bell. Supervisors: Prof. Pier Luigi Vidale, Dr. Kevin Hodges and Dr. Jane Strachan. Introduction. Motivation. Socio-economic impacts and changing risk with climate change. . Impacts on the climate system, removing heat and moisture from the ocean affecting large scale circulation.. Kerry Emanuel. Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Storm Max Power Dissipation. (Smoothed with a 1-3-4-3-1 filter). Are there any patterns on the wind direction animation?. Using evidence from the Sea Surface Temperature and Wind Speed map can you say why we get ocean currents?. Ocean currents and sea surface temperature . Tata AIG RE - 8 For further information on this month’ s topic please contact: Kushlesh Kumar Risk Engineering , Energy kushlesh1.kumar@tataaig.com For feedback or comment related to the bulleti Past, Present, and Future Tropical Cyclone Activity Jacob Carstens 1 , Christopher Uejio 2 , and Allison Wing 1 1 Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Florida State University, Tallaha Why Should You Care? Forecasting Much progress in social science of response to warnings, requests to evacuate, etc. Forecasters are ambassadors to meteorology Opportunity to inform public Knowledge o Getting started. You’ll need a notepad on which to make notes as you go along, or you could make notes, paste images, etc. on your device.. You can view these slides:. as a slide-show for any animations and to follow links. Kerry Emanuel. Lorenz Center. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, MIT. Program. Overview of hurricanes. Basic theory of hurricanes. What have hurricanes been like in the past, and how will they be affected by global warming?. Kerry Emanuel. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Risk Assessment Methods. Methods based on hurricane history. Numerical Simulations. Downscaling Approaches. 3 Cat 3 Storms in New England. 3 Cat 5 Storms in U.S. History. Kerry . Emanuel and Sai Ravela. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Risk Assessment Methods. Methods based on hurricane history. Numerical Simulations. Downscaling Approaches. Issues with Historically Based Risk Assessment.