International Partnership for Nuclear Disarmament

Transcript:International Partnership for Nuclear Disarmament:
International Partnership for Nuclear Disarmament Verification Looking toward Phase II – Facilitated Discussion Take a “quick look ahead” at some of the questions and issues of the three new Working Groups “Correctness and Completeness”, “Dismantlement and Disposition”, and “Tools and Technologies” With a focus on insights from Phase I for the work of the new Groups as we begin Phase II Each new Working Group in turn, then cross-cutting lessons With questions to foster discussion – in “baskets” of issues Everyone also should raise other insights or lessons More questions than likely to be able to discuss Purpose and format 2 Jump-start thinking for the new Working Groups but not prejudge how they define their own program of work Focus on how to verify correctness and completeness of declarations of nuclear weapons under an Agreement, including, for example: Confirm items are as declared Confirm number of nuclear weapons, including when access not timely Track numbers over many years Types of declarations, documentation, and supporting information as part of inspection and monitoring of nuclear disarmament Develop specific verification options for different locations and scenarios Working Group 4 – “Correctness and Completeness” 3 What specific issues and questions should be addressed first by this Working Group? What is the set of declarations of nuclear weapons that should be examined in greater detail? Why? Total number? Number for elimination under a specific Agreement? Number in storage, transit, undergoing dismantlement? Number dismantled? All of above? Are there trade-offs or constraints that impact declarations and should be explored more fully in Phase II? Working Group 4 – Some questions for discussion in light of Phase I (1) 4 What on-site inspection procedures (vice technologies) identified in Phase I may warrant additional focus for confirming items are as declared? What other “types of declarations, documentation, and supporting information” should be explored to support inspection and monitoring for nuclear disarmament? To confirm items are as declared? Declarations of sites, activities, flows across the nuclear-weapon life-cycle? Access to documentation and records – of what sort? Working Group 4 – Some questions for discussion in light of Phase I (2) 5 Are there other declarations possibly to consider prior to the steps of the 14-step framework? Production? Depiction of the full nuclear-weapon life cycle? As depicted by NTI life-cycle graphic on next slide Should the Working Group also consider the contribution of voluntary transparency measures and reporting? Other voluntary