PPT-Forecasting

JY Le Boudec 1 Contents What is forecasting Linear Regression Avoiding Overfitting Differencing ARMA models Sparse ARMA models Case Studies 2 1 What is forecasting Assume you have been able to define the . Sami . Yl. ä. outinen. Fiscal Affairs Department (IMF) & METAC. Workshop on MTFF. December 16. th. –19. th. , 2014, Beirut, Lebanon. Macro-Fiscal Forecasting. Outline of Presentation. Why macroeconomic forecasting. TRAFFIC FORECASTING. The essence of port traffic forecasting is to attempt to forecast (predict): . (a) What kinds and tonnages of commodities will move through the port?. (b) How will these commodities be packaged and transported as maritime cargo?. & Budgeting. 2. Sales Forecast. It is estimate of a company’s sale for a specified future period.. Sales forecasting provides the starting point for assumptions used in various planning activities.. Thursday, August 25, 2016. 2:30PM –4:00 PM. Pat Walker, Pat Walker Consulting LLC. Tom Duensing, Assistant City Manager, . City of Glendale. 1. Presentation Objectives. Introduction/Overview. Overview of Budget Process. and humanitarian response. . L. essons . from Nepal. THE SCIENCE OF . AFTERSHOCK FORECASTING. Earthquakes can’t be predicted. However, aftershocks follow robust seismological . ‘laws’. Probability . USDA Foods. The importance of forecasting to the supply chain and cost effective procurement. Existing tools for forecasting. Promoting good supply chain management, procurement and forecasting. In this Training. EViews Training Basic Forecasting Note: Data and workfiles for this tutorial are provided in: Data: D ata.xls Results: R esults.wf1 Practice Workfile : Data.wf1 Data and Workfile Documentation 1. Why Firms Forecast XRs. Hedging decisions. Hedging payables and receivables. Short-term financing decisions. Which currency to borrow in. Low rate, weakening currency. 2. Why Firms Forecast XRs. Short-term investment decisions. Transportation. Final Report. NCHRP 10-101: Research Team . Jorge A. Rueda . Principal Investigator Auburn University - HRC. 2. Cliff Schexnayder . Co-Principal Investigator Arizona State University. Demand Forecasting. ACWA Fall Conference 2016 . November 30, 2016. Finance Program - Forecasting Water Demand. Ken Weinberg. Ken Weinberg Water Resources Consulting LLC. Demand Forecasting is the Foundation. Phone: 01483689185. a.floh@surrey.ac.uk. Skype. : . arnefloh. Marketing Analytics – . Forecasting. What is forecasting and why we need it in Marketing Analytics?. Sales/demand forecasts. are used for…. LO18–2: Evaluate demand using quantitative forecasting models.. LO18–3: Apply qualitative techniques to forecast demand.. LO18–4: Apply collaborative techniques to forecast demand.. McGraw-Hill/Irwin. A hybrid dynamic microsimulation approach. IMA Conference Dec ‘20. We have a strong track record in microsimulation. Recent developments:. AnyLogic Translation. Move to INFORM2. Working Age Modelling & Forecasting. - . Better forecasting for rising or falling demand. - Coping with seasonal demand. - Alternative techniques. Figure 13.1 Forecasting Trend. Figure 13.2 Double exponential model. Y=. bx. + d. b. a. Time Periods x.