PPT-Why we need causal prognostic reasoning in medicine

Niels Peek Professor of Health Informatics The University of Manchester Clinical prediction methods CAVEAT Why do we need prognostic models Prevention is more effective than cure ischemia. Jean-Philippe Pellet. Andre . Ellisseeff. Presented by Na Dai. Motivation. Why structure . l. earning?. What are Markov blankets?. Relationship between feature selection and Markov blankets?. Previous work. recap. Kripke’s Picture. “Someone. , let’s say, a baby, is born; his parents call him by a certain . name. They . talk about him to their friends, . other . people meet him. . Through various sorts . Ognyan. Oreshkov. , . Fabio . Costa. , . ČaslavBrukner. Bhubaneswar. arXiv:1105.4464. 20 December2011. Conference on Quantum Information. X. T. D. E. A. B. C. A. B. C. D. E. Measurements in space-time. Reversible Debugging. Ivan . Lanese. Focus research group. Computer Science . and Engineering Department. Univers. ity . of Bologna/INRIA. Bologna, Italy. Joint work with Elena Giachino (FOCUS) and Claudio Antares Mezzina (FBK Trento). Does Bell’s theorem prevent the use of causal explanations in quantum mechanics?. Part I:. Locality, Bell’s version of locality, and its discontents. The greatest mystery in science?. Locality. = “things do not go faster than . Michael Rosenblum. March 16, 2010. Overview. I describe the set of assumptions encoded by a causal directed acyclic graph (DAG). I use an example from page 15 of the book . Causality. by Judea Pearl (2009). . Susan Athey, Stanford GSB. Based on joint work with Guido Imbens, Stefan Wager. References outside CS literature. Imbens and Rubin Causal Inference book (2015): synthesis of literature prior to big data/ML. Assoc. . Prof. Dr. Şehnaz . Şahinkarakaş. Introduction to Causal-Comparative Research. A . causal-comparative. . study. is. a . study in which the researcher attempts to determine the cause, or reason, for pre-existing differences in groups of . Dr Steven Stillman. Senior Fellow, Motu . Adjunct Professor of Economics, Waikato. NIDEA Theme Leader, New Zealand’s individuals, families and households. Launch Symposium, November 24. th. 2010. The Importance of Experimental Evidence . Causes are . difference-makers. .. Effect need not be . universal/deterministic. .. N. ot . everyone who is bitten by a cobra . dies. .. N. ot . everyone who dies is bitten by a . cobra. .. B. ut . cobra bites still cause . The . Post Hoc . Fallacy . – this is sometimes called the . post hoc ergo propter hoc. fallacy. The full phrase means: “after this, therefore because of this” And it is a causal inference fallacy. (304). : A Mechanist Perspective. Stuart Glennan. Butler . University. The singularist and generalist view of causation. The. generalist view: Particular events are causally related because they fall under general laws. Causal arguments are inductive arguments in which the conclusion is a claim that one thing causes another.. For example:. Clogged arteries cause heart attacks. A rough surface produces friction. Exercise during heat causes sweating. Qiang . Ning, . . Zhili. . Feng. , . Hao Wu, . Dan . Roth. 07/18/2018. University of Illinois, . Urbana-Champaign . &. University . of Pennsylvania. Time is Important. Understanding .