PPT-Tropical Cyclone Prediction and Predictability: Advances and Challenges

Kerry Emanuel Lorenz Center Massachusetts Institute of Technology In collaboration with Fuqing Zhang Atlantic Tropical Cyclone F orecasting Some successes and some failures Some Issues. Satellite cl oud imageries are used along with other meteorological features to estimate t he intensities and the wind speed associated with these intense systems The satellite cl oud configurations expressed by T numbers have unique relati onship w By. Dr. Mukta . Paliwal. CSE, IIT Bombay. Introduction. Tropical cyclones are low pressure systems that have thunderstorm activity and rotate counterclockwise.. Tropical cyclones form over all tropical oceanic areas except the South Atlantic and the Southeast Pacific. . SOES 6026 – Radar Remote Sensing. Ray Bell. Tropical cyclones. Applications. Scatterometers. Altimeters. SARs. Forecasting. Conclusions. Applications. Influence 10,000s people every year and can shape financial markets.. vs. . Remote effect. Sourav Taraphdar. 1. Collaborators. :. 1. . Fuqing. Zhang, . Yonghui. . Weng. , Michael (Yue) Ying. 2. . Shuguang. Wang. 3. Juan . Fang. 1. Department of Meteorology, The Pennsylvania State University, . Ethan Wright: UNC Asheville. Research Advisor: . Dr. Christopher . Hennon. 04/22/2015. Peak Intensity: 190 mph. Lowest Pressure: 870 . mb. Small eye size of 8 nm . Super Typhoon Tip (1979). Super Typhoon Winnie (1997). Presentation to AMS Board on Enterprise Communications. September 2012. ESPC Overview. Introduction. ESPC is an . interagency collaboration . between DoD (Navy, Air Force), NOAA, DoE, NASA, and NSF for coordination of research to operations for an earth system analysis and extended range prediction capability. . http://glossary.ametsoc.org/wiki/. Tropical_cyclone. . http://glossary.ametsoc.org/wiki/. Tropical_cyclone. . Necessary, but not sufficient, conditions for tropical cyclogenesis. (Gray, 1968). Although the initial mechanisms by which tropical cyclones might form can vary from ocean basin to ocean basin, the process by which TCs develop should be similar globally. Madeline Frank. EAS 4480. Course Project. April 2016. Goals. 4 Ocean Basins:. . North Atlantic, East Pacific, West Pacific, . Indian. Determine the relationship (if any) between active and/or inactive tropical cyclone years among 4 Ocean basins. 11A1 FOR HURRICANES KATRINA RITA AND WILMA James S Goerss Naval Research Laboratory Monterey California1 INTRODUCTION Consensus tropical cyclone TC track forecast aids formed using TC track fore 2223 May 2021 3 August 2021 NASA/TERRA MODERATE RESOLUTION IMAGING SPECTRORADIOMETER MODIS IMAGERY OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA AT 1507 UTC 22 MAY 2021 IMAGE COURTESY OF NASA EOSDIS WORLDVIEW Ana origina Name: . Location: . Date: . Choose one of the following websites and use it to complete the Case Study sheet:. Cyclone . Idai. : . https://www.internetgeography.net/weather-and-climate/cyclone-idai-case-study/. and. Working Group for Tropical Cyclone Research (WG/TCR) . Dr. Frank Marks (NOAA) and Dr. Ron . Ferek. (Navy). Co-Chairs, Working Group for Tropical Cyclone Research (WG/TCR). 1. History of JAG/TCR. Dr.. Swarnima Singh. Dept. of Geography,. DDUGU. , . India. Tropical Cyclones. General Characteristics. Cyclone . developed in the region lying between the tropics of Capricorn and Cancer are called tropical cyclone, which are not regular and uniform like extra tropical or temperate cyclones.. Kerry . Emanuel and Sai Ravela. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Risk Assessment Methods. Methods based on hurricane history. Numerical Simulations. Downscaling Approaches. Issues with Historically Based Risk Assessment.